【每周经济观察】第48期:港口集装箱吞吐量明显反弹-20251201
Huachuang Securities·2025-12-01 12:45

Economic Trends - The WEI index decreased to 4.62% as of November 23, down from 5.42% the previous week, indicating a downward trend in economic activity[3] - Passenger car retail sales showed a slight improvement, with a year-on-year decline of 7% as of November 23, compared to a previous decline of 9%[2] - Port container throughput rebounded significantly, with a month-on-month increase of 5.4% as of November 23, and a year-on-year increase of 10% over the past four weeks[2] Real Estate and Construction - Residential sales continued to decline, with a year-on-year decrease of 35% in transaction area across 67 cities as of November 29[3] - The average land premium rate across 100 cities was 0.88% as of November 23, indicating low volatility[14] - Cement dispatch rates remained low, at 33.4% in the third week of November, unchanged from the previous week and down from 36.5% year-on-year[18] Commodity Prices - Precious metals and agricultural product prices increased, with COMEX gold rising by 3.4% to $4223.9 per ounce and LME copper increasing by 2.7% to $10,985 per ton[2] - Domestic agricultural prices generally rose, with vegetable prices up 1.9% and egg prices up 1.2%, while pork prices fell by 0.4%[49] Trade and Exports - New export orders index for China's manufacturing sector rose to 47.6% in November, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from the previous month[25] - The number of outbound container ships from China to the U.S. showed a year-on-year decline of 7.4% as of November 29, an improvement from a decline of 16.9% in October[25] Interest Rates and Debt - As of November 28, the yields on 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year government bonds were 1.4017%, 1.6183%, and 1.8412%, respectively, with slight increases from the previous week[71] - The issuance of local government bonds reached 504 billion yuan in the week ending December 1, with 390 billion yuan in special bonds[54]

【每周经济观察】第48期:港口集装箱吞吐量明显反弹-20251201 - Reportify