农产品期权：农产品期权策略早报-20251202

Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the document regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural products options market shows a mixed trend, with oilseeds and oils being weakly volatile, and agricultural by - products and soft commodities maintaining a volatile pattern. For example, soft commodity sugar shows a slight fluctuation, while cotton is in a weak consolidation state, and grains such as corn and starch are in a weak and narrow - range consolidation [2]. - It is recommended to construct option combination strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summaries Based on Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, price change rates, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various agricultural product options' underlying futures contracts are presented. For instance, the latest price of soybeans (A2601) is 4,141, with a price increase of 23 and a price change rate of 0.56%, a trading volume of 84,000 lots, a volume decrease of 19,600 lots, an open interest of 188,200 lots, and an open interest decrease of 2,200 lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The trading volume, volume change, open interest, open interest change, trading volume PCR, volume PCR change, open interest PCR, and open interest PCR change of various agricultural product options are provided. For example, for soybean options, the trading volume is 35,896, with a volume decrease of 12,647, an open interest of 97,502, an open interest increase of 744, a trading volume PCR of 0.88, a volume PCR increase of 0.23, an open interest PCR of 0.98, and an open interest PCR change of 0 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The underlying contracts, at - the - money strike prices, pressure points, pressure point offsets, support points, support point offsets, maximum call option open interests, and maximum put option open interests of various agricultural product options are given. For example, for soybean options (A2601), the at - the - money strike price is 4,150, the pressure point is 4,200 with an offset of 0, the support point is 4,000 with an offset of 0, the maximum call option open interest is 6,822, and the maximum put option open interest is 7,405 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, weighted implied volatility change, annual average implied volatility, call option implied volatility, put option implied volatility, historical 20 - day volatility, and implied - historical volatility difference of various agricultural product options are presented. For example, for soybean options, the at - the - money implied volatility is 11.355, the weighted implied volatility is 11.92, with a decrease of 0.47, the annual average implied volatility is 12.82, the call option implied volatility is 12.35, the put option implied volatility is 11.42, the historical 20 - day volatility is 12.07, and the implied - historical volatility difference is - 0.72 [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations - Oilseeds and Oils Options: - Soybean Options: The fundamental situation shows that due to China's purchase of US soybeans, the purchase progress has advanced. The option implied volatility is below the historical average, and the open interest PCR is above 1.00, indicating a volatile market. The pressure level is 4,200, and the support level is 4,000. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option selling combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7]. - Soybean Meal Options: The oil mill operating rate is about 61.41%. The option implied volatility is below the historical average, and the open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 2,950, and the support level is 2,800. It is recommended to construct a bearish call + put option selling combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - Palm Oil Options: The production in Malaysia has increased, while the export volume has decreased. The option implied volatility is below the historical average, and the open interest PCR is around 0.80, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 9,500, and the support level is 9,000. It is recommended to construct a bearish call spread strategy, a bearish call + put option selling combination strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9]. - Peanut Options: The peanut market is in a high - level consolidation phase. The option implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, and the open interest PCR is around 1.00, indicating a volatile and strong market. The pressure level is 8,000, and the support level is 7,700. It is recommended to construct a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10]. - Agricultural By - product Options: - Pig Options: The average slaughter weight of pigs has increased. The option implied volatility is above the historical average, and the open interest PCR is below 0.50, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 14,000, and the support level is 11,000. It is recommended to construct a bearish call + put option selling combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [10]. - Egg Options: The domestic egg price has a limited increase, and the supply is sufficient while the demand has no obvious improvement. The option implied volatility is at a relatively high level, and the open interest PCR is below 0.60. The pressure level is 4,000, and the support level is 2,800. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option selling combination strategy [11]. - Apple Options: The new - season late - Fuji apple storage work is coming to an end, and the storage volume is less than last year. The option implied volatility is above the historical average, and the open interest PCR is above 0.90, indicating strong support below. The pressure level is 10,600, and the support level is 8,000. It is recommended to construct a bullish call + put option selling combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11]. - Jujube Options: The new - season jujube production in Xinjiang is expected to decrease, and the inventory pressure is large. The option implied volatility has rapidly risen above the historical average, and the open interest PCR is below 0.50. The pressure level is 12,600, and the support level is 10,000. It is recommended to construct a bearish strangle option selling combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [12]. - Soft Commodity Options: - Sugar Options: The number of sugar mills in Guangxi that have started crushing is less than last year. The option implied volatility is at a relatively low historical level, and the open interest PCR is around 0.60, indicating a range - bound market. The pressure level is 5,700, and the support level is 5,400. It is recommended to construct a bearish call + put option selling combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12]. - Cotton Options: The spinning mill operating rate is 65.5%, and the cotton commercial inventory has increased. The option implied volatility is at a low level, and the open interest PCR is below 1.00, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 13,600, and the support level is 13,000. It is recommended to construct a bullish call + put option selling combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot [13]. - Grain Options: - Corn Options: The corn inventory in northern ports is accumulating, and the trading in Guangdong ports is light. The option implied volatility is at a relatively low historical level, and the open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 2,200, and the support level is 2,000. It is recommended to construct a bullish call + put option selling combination strategy [13].