宝城期货股指期货早报（2025年12月2日）-20251202

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The overall view for the financial futures stock index sector is that the short - term trend of stock indices is expected to be oscillating and slightly stronger, with a mid - term view of oscillation and an overall reference view of range - bound oscillation [1][5]. - The core logic is that although the 11 - month manufacturing PMI is still below the boom - bust line, indicating insufficient effective domestic demand, the expectation of policy benefits is strong, especially looking forward to the incremental policy benefits from the December Central Economic Work Conference. Overseas, the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut has risen, the risk of the AI asset investment bubble has decreased, and market risk - aversion sentiment has cooled. The support for stock indices is strong due to the unchanged expectation of policy benefits and the trend of long - term funds entering the market [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Categories 3.1 Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2512, the short - term view is oscillation, the mid - term view is oscillation, the intraday view is slightly stronger, and the overall view is range - bound oscillation. The core logic is the fermentation of policy benefit expectations versus the rising willingness of funds to take profits [1]. 3.2 Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The intraday view for IF, IH, IC, and IM is slightly stronger, the mid - term view is oscillation, and the reference view is range - bound oscillation. The core logic is that the stock indices rebounded oscillatingly yesterday. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 1889.4 billion yuan, an increase of 291.7 billion yuan from the previous day. The manufacturing PMI in November was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month but still below the boom - bust line, indicating insufficient effective domestic demand. The expectation of policy benefits is strong, and the support for stock indices is strong [5].