Shanghai Aijian Securities·2025-12-02 05:37Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform" compared to the market [2]. Core Insights - The lithium battery industry has seen production exceed expectations, with domestic battery production reaching 170.6 GWh in October 2025, a year-on-year increase of 50.84% and a month-on-month increase of 12.83% [2]. - The prices of lithium battery materials are fluctuating, with industrial-grade lithium carbonate priced at 91,400 CNY/ton, down 1.08% week-on-week, while lithium iron phosphate (power type) increased by 2.62% to 39,100 CNY/ton [2]. - Domestic demand for lithium batteries is strong, with lithium iron phosphate battery shipments reaching 67.5 GWh in October 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43.62% [2]. - The export volume of Chinese power batteries in October 2025 was 19.4 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 79.63% [2]. Summary by Sections Production - In the first ten months of 2025, domestic battery and lithium iron phosphate cathode material production significantly exceeded the same period in 2024 [2][3]. - The production capacity utilization rate for lithium iron phosphate cathode materials was 63.54%, higher than the same period in 2024 [2]. Prices - The prices of key raw materials for lithium batteries are mixed, with lithium carbonate prices decreasing while lithium iron phosphate prices are increasing [2]. - The average price of square lithium iron phosphate energy storage cells has shown a rising trend, with prices increasing by 0.01 CNY/Wh [2]. Domestic Demand - The monthly shipment of lithium iron phosphate batteries reached a record high in October 2025, with a total of 67.5 GWh shipped [2]. - New energy storage project bidding capacity in October 2025 was 12.7 GW/38.7 GWh, showing an 85% year-on-year increase [2]. Overseas Demand - The global sales of new energy vehicles reached 2.1078 million units in September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.53% [2].