大额买入与资金流向跟踪(20251124-20251128)
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-12-02 06:23
  • The report introduces two key tracking indicators: "Large Order Transaction Amount Proportion" and "Net Active Buy Amount Proportion" [7] - The "Large Order Transaction Amount Proportion" is designed to capture the buying behavior of large funds. It is calculated by identifying large orders from transaction data and computing the proportion of large buy orders' transaction amounts relative to the total daily transaction amount [7] - The "Net Active Buy Amount Proportion" reflects investors' active buying behavior. It is derived by distinguishing active buy and sell transactions from transaction data, calculating the net active buy amount (active buy amount minus active sell amount), and expressing it as a proportion of the total daily transaction amount [7] Factor Backtesting Results - For individual stocks, the top 10 stocks with the highest 5-day average "Large Order Transaction Amount Proportion" include Xinhua Du (90.6%, 99.2% percentile), Beichen Industrial (89.1%, 98.8% percentile), and Zhongyou Engineering (88.8%, 100.0% percentile) [9] - For individual stocks, the top 10 stocks with the highest 5-day average "Net Active Buy Amount Proportion" include Senying Windows (22.3%, 100.0% percentile), Huitong Group (20.0%, 100.0% percentile), and Yuandong Biotech (19.6%, 100.0% percentile) [10] - For broad-based indices, the 5-day average "Large Order Transaction Amount Proportion" ranges from 71.7% (Shanghai 50 Index) to 74.3% (China Securities 500 Index), while the "Net Active Buy Amount Proportion" ranges from -5.2% (Shanghai 50 Index) to 1.9% (China Securities 500 Index) [12] - For industries, the 5-day average "Large Order Transaction Amount Proportion" is highest in the banking sector (80.6%, 86.5% percentile) and lowest in the electronics sector (70.8%, 16.4% percentile). The "Net Active Buy Amount Proportion" is highest in the steel sector (7.9%, 75.8% percentile) and lowest in the banking sector (-14.6%, 3.3% percentile) [13] - For ETFs, the top 10 ETFs with the highest 5-day average "Large Order Transaction Amount Proportion" include Guotai CSI A500 ETF (92.3%, 36.1% percentile) and Guotai SSE 10-Year Treasury Bond ETF (90.7%, 89.3% percentile) [15] - For ETFs, the top 10 ETFs with the highest 5-day average "Net Active Buy Amount Proportion" include Southern SSE STAR Chip ETF (27.5%, 100.0% percentile) and E Fund Hang Seng Dividend Low Volatility ETF (23.6%, 99.6% percentile) [16]