Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical(SH:603456) Xiangcai Securities·2025-12-02 07:09Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [6][7]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as an innovative leader in the CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) sector, focusing on providing customized R&D and manufacturing services for pharmaceutical and biotech companies globally. The company's revenue has shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.67% from 2019 to 2024, with a projected revenue of 51.61 billion yuan in 2024 [1][3]. - The company's contract manufacturing revenue has significantly increased, accounting for 75% of total revenue in 2024, with international revenue making up 79.12% of total sales [2][3]. - The global CDMO market is experiencing robust growth, with an expected market size of $168.4 billion by 2028 and $338.5 billion by 2030, which the company is well-positioned to benefit from [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's revenue increased from 20.17 billion yuan in 2019 to 51.61 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit growth from 2.38 billion yuan in 2019 to 10.33 billion yuan in 2023. However, net profit in 2024 was impacted by non-recurring losses, dropping to 6.06 billion yuan, a decrease of 41.34% year-on-year. In Q1-Q3 2025, net profit rebounded to 7.48 billion yuan, up 18.51% year-on-year [1][7]. Business Strategy - The company has a clear strategic focus on innovative drug CDMO services, with a growing pipeline of projects in peptide and conjugated nucleic acid technologies. The company is expanding its production capacity for peptides to 800 kg/year and is establishing commercialization capabilities for small nucleic acids [4][7]. Market Outlook - The report highlights the high market demand for innovative drugs, which is driving the growth of the CDMO sector. The company is expected to benefit from this trend, with projected revenues of 56.70 billion yuan, 62.78 billion yuan, and 69.57 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7][9].