港股市场跟踪与行业轮动月报-20251202

• The report discusses the construction of two quantitative models for Hong Kong stock market sector rotation based on southbound capital flows: one adjusted by sector market capitalization and another adjusted by the three-year percentile of sector market capitalization preferences of southbound capital[20][22] - The first model, adjusted by sector market capitalization, aims to capture the recent preferences of southbound capital by normalizing the net inflow of capital into each sector relative to its market capitalization[20] - The second model, adjusted by the three-year percentile of sector market capitalization preferences, seeks to identify long-term trends in sector preferences by calculating the historical percentile rank of capital inflows into each sector over the past three years[20] - Both models are tested against the Hang Seng Index and equal-weighted sector portfolios, demonstrating the ability to generate excess returns[22]