CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES·2025-12-02 09:38Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Viewpoints - The machine tool industry exhibits significant structural growth characteristics, with high-end manufacturing and exports being the core driving forces. The metal cutting machine tool segment achieved a revenue growth of 10.8%, production growth of 14.8%, and export growth of 13.6%, significantly outperforming the overall industry level. This reflects the rigid demand for high-end processing equipment in high-tech fields such as aerospace, new energy vehicles, and precision molds [4][6] - The overall industry shows a structure of "stable domestically and growing externally," with growth momentum shifting from scale expansion to technological leadership and global market expansion. Short-term prosperity is constrained, but there are marginal improvement signals from policy expectations and inventory adjustments [6][7] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - From January to October 2025, the machine tool industry achieved a total operating income of 851.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%. The metal cutting machine tool segment saw a year-on-year revenue increase of 10.8%, while the metal forming machine tool segment grew by 7.5%. New orders for metal processing machine tools increased by 7.3%, and the backlog of orders grew by 4.3% [3][4] Import and Export Data - The total import and export value of machine tool products reached 27.42 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%. The import value was 8.48 billion USD, up 1.4%, while the export value was 18.94 billion USD, increasing by 7.7%. Specifically, the import value of metal cutting machine tools was 3.95 billion USD (up 0.6%), and the export value was 5.10 billion USD (up 13.6%). For metal forming machine tools, the import value was 520 million USD (down 9.8%), while the export value surged to 2.80 billion USD (up 38.2%) [4][6] Investment Recommendations - The current industry export performance is better than domestic demand, driven by global supply chain restructuring and industrialization needs in emerging markets. The report suggests focusing on companies with core technological capabilities, outstanding internationalization, and the ability to respond quickly to small and medium-sized enterprises. Recommended stocks include Kede CNC, Haitian Precision, Huazhong CNC, and others [6][7]