Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.6 billion RMB for FY25, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.8%. The adjusted net profit was 812 million RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, aligning with expectations [4] - The student enrollment for FY25 was 139,000, a slight decrease of 0.6% from FY24. However, the structure of students improved, with the proportion of undergraduate new students increasing by 4 percentage points and the proportion of undergraduate students rising by 1 percentage point [4] - The average tuition fee increased by 8.1% to 16,700 RMB per academic year, while accommodation fees rose by 5.2% to 1,998 RMB per academic year, contributing to the revenue growth [4] - The company's operating costs for FY25 were 1.68 billion RMB, up 9.2% year-on-year, outpacing revenue growth by 1.4 percentage points. Personnel costs increased by 14.7% to 1.08 billion RMB, reflecting the company's commitment to high-quality education [5] - The company anticipates a rebound in profitability as the peak of cost increases has passed, with capital expenditures expected to normalize. The capital expenditure for FY25 decreased to 690 million RMB from a peak of 920 million RMB in FY24 [6] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for FY26 and FY27 to 880 million RMB and 1 billion RMB, respectively, and introduced a new profit forecast of 1.14 billion RMB for FY28. The target price has been raised to 3.38 HKD from 2.99 HKD, maintaining the "Buy" rating [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - FY24 revenue is projected at 2.41 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.81%. FY25 revenue is expected to be 2.6 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 7.78% [7] - Adjusted net profit for FY24 is estimated at 772 million RMB, increasing to 812 million RMB in FY25, with growth rates of 6.12% and 5.22%, respectively [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY25 is projected at 0.49 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 2.07 [7]
新高教集团（02001）：成本高峰已过，盈利能力即将反弹