食品饮料、周报：细分赛道分化，技术政策双重驱动-20251203

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2][63]. Core Insights - The food and beverage industry has shown slight growth but underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with significant differentiation in sub-sectors. Pre-processed foods and emerging categories are leading the growth, while the liquor sector is under pressure. The stability in raw material prices, along with technological breakthroughs and policy support, is driving industry upgrades. The upcoming consumption peak and supply optimization enhance growth certainty. It is recommended to focus on leading companies in niche segments and those benefiting from technological innovations [2][4][60]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - During the week of November 24-30, 2025, the A-share major indices showed a slight upward trend, with the SW Food and Beverage Index rising by 0.07%, ranking 28th among the first-level industries and underperforming the CSI 300 by 1.57 percentage points. Pre-processed foods (+5.64%) and snacks (+2.88%) led the sub-sector performance, while liquor and beer experienced slight adjustments [4][11]. Raw Material Data Tracking - As of November 28, 2025, the average prices for various raw materials showed mixed trends. For grains, corn prices increased by 2.17% to 2329.8 CNY/ton, while wheat prices rose by 0.10% to 2507.28 CNY/ton. Vegetable and fruit prices also saw slight increases, with average wholesale prices for vegetables at 5.79 CNY/kg (+1.94%) and fruits at 7.22 CNY/kg (+1.83%) [22][25]. Key Industry Data Tracking - In the liquor sector, high-end product prices are showing a mixed trend, with some premium products experiencing price corrections. For instance, the reference wholesale price for Feitian Moutai decreased by 4.24% to 1580 CNY/bottle. In the meat sector, the average price for pork was 22.86 CNY/kg, down by 0.70% [35][37][38]. Industry and Company News - Significant advancements in the domestic production of lactoferrin, a key ingredient in infant formula, have been achieved, reducing reliance on imports. This breakthrough is expected to enhance the domestic high-end dairy product supply chain [44][45]. Additionally, the release of the first intelligent brewing standard for liquor in Yibin marks a shift towards scientific brewing practices in the industry [54]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-growth sub-sectors, technological and policy benefits, and valuation attractiveness. Pre-processed foods and snacks are expected to benefit from rising consumer demand and the upcoming peak season. The dairy sector is also poised for growth due to domestic innovations, while the liquor sector, despite short-term pressures, remains a long-term investment opportunity [60].