瓶片短纤数据日报-20251203

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core View - Gasoline cracking profit has declined, and gasoline blending performance has weakened. The PX market is firm under multiple factors. The increase in PX price is mainly driven by gasoline blending value support and the stabilization and recovery of by - product benzene price. The PX - naphtha spread has further widened to $256, while the PX - mixed xylene spread is still under pressure, only slightly higher than $100, which restricts the space for increasing efficiency by increasing PX production. Domestic refinery unit maintenance rumors are positive for PX, and some South Korean producers are even considering taking offline toluene - route PX units in December. Domestic PTA manufacturers benefit from India's cancellation of PTA import BIS certification restrictions, and the improved export prospects boost PX procurement sentiment. The strong PX price is significantly beneficial to the PTA market. Currently, the PTA supply side is slightly tightened, while the polyester industry's operating rate remains stable, with the overall load above 90%. Benefiting from the positive adjustment of trade policies in some overseas countries, the export inquiries of polyester products have increased significantly, and the domestic polyester export prospects are optimistic. The costs of bottle chips and short fibers follow suit [2]. Data Summary Price and Price Difference - PTA spot price increased from 4710 to 4720, with a change of 10; MEG domestic price decreased from 3901 to 3882, with a change of - 19; PTA closing price decreased from 4762 to 4752, with a change of - 10; MEG closing price decreased from 3882 to 3877, with a change of - 5; 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber price increased from 6415 to 6416, with a change of 1; short - fiber basis increased from 64 to 65, with a change of 1; 12 - 1 spread decreased from 104 to 94, with a change of - 10; 1.4D direct - spun and imitation large - chemical fiber price difference increased from 1040 to 1041, with a change of 1; East China water bottle chip price increased from 5757 to 5763, with a change of 6; hot - filling polyester bottle chip price increased from 5757 to 5763, with a change of 6; carbonated - grade polyester bottle chip price increased from 5857 to 5863, with a change of 6; T32S pure polyester yarn price remained at 10300, with a change of 0; T32S pure polyester yarn processing fee increased from 3882 to 3884, with a change of 2; polyester - cotton yarn 65/35 45S price remained at 16300, with a change of 0; cotton 328 price increased from 14570 to 14590, with a change of 20; polyester - cotton yarn profit decreased from 1539 to 1531, with a change of - 8; primary three - dimensional hollow (with silicon) price increased from 7090 to 7125, with a change of 35; hollow short - fiber 6 - 15D cash flow increased from 556 to 589, with a change of 33; primary low - melting - point short - fiber price increased from 7675 to 7680, with a change of 5 [2]. Market Conditions - Short fiber: The price of polyester staple fiber production plants remained stagnant, the price of traders fluctuated horizontally, downstream demand was for rigid procurement, and factory sales were average. The price of 1.56dtex * 38mm semi - bright natural white (1.4D) polyester staple fiber in the East China market was 6180 - 6500 yuan for cash - on - delivery, tax - included self - pick - up; in the North China market, it was 6300 - 6620 yuan for cash - on - delivery, tax - included delivery; in the Fujian market, it was 6220 - 6400 yuan for cash - on - delivery, tax - included delivery. - Bottle chips: The mainstream negotiation price of polyester bottle chips in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets was 5750 - 5880 yuan/ton, with the average price remaining the same as the previous working day. PTA and bottle - chip futures fluctuated narrowly, most supply - side offers remained unchanged, market transactions were limited, downstream terminals were cautious in following up, the market trading atmosphere was relatively light, and the market negotiation focus was temporarily stable [2]. Operating Rate and Sales - The direct - spun short - fiber load (weekly) increased from 88.37% to 89.32%, with a change of 0.95%; polyester staple fiber sales remained at 50.00%, with a change of 0.00%; polyester yarn startup rate (weekly) remained at 66.00%, with a change of 0.00%; recycled cotton - type load index (weekly) remained at 51.10%, with a change of 0.00% [2][3].