股指期货将震荡整理,白银、碳酸锂期货将偏强震荡,钯期货将震荡偏强,氧化铝期货将创下上市以来新低,螺纹钢、铁矿石、玻璃、纯碱期货将偏弱震荡,焦煤期货将震荡偏弱
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-12-03 08:03

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis such as the golden section line, horizontal line, and daily moving average, the report predicts the trend of today's futures main contracts. It also provides an analysis of the previous day's market conditions and future expectations for various futures including stock index futures, bond futures, precious metal futures, base metal futures, and commodity futures [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Futures Market Outlook - Stock index futures are likely to fluctuate and consolidate. For example, IF2512 has resistance levels at 4565 and 4575 points and support levels at 4511 and 4492 points [2][17]. - Ten - year treasury bond futures main contract T2603 is likely to have a wide - range fluctuation, with resistance levels at 108.10 and 108.20 yuan and support levels at 107.92 and 107.85 yuan [2][37]. - Thirty - year treasury bond futures main contract TL2603 is likely to have a weak wide - range fluctuation, with support levels at 113.7 and 113.3 yuan and resistance levels at 114.2 and 114.4 yuan [2][39]. - Gold futures main contract AU2602 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, with support levels at 945.5 and 939.6 yuan/gram and resistance levels at 963.3 and 968.3 yuan/gram [3][41]. - Silver futures main contract AG2602 is likely to have a strong - side fluctuation, attacking resistance levels at 13800 and 14000 yuan/kg, with support levels at 13423 and 13381 yuan/kg, and may hit a record high since listing [3][49]. - Platinum futures main contract PT2606 is likely to have a wide - range fluctuation, with resistance levels at 444.1 and 448.4 yuan/gram and support levels at 439.8 and 436.4 yuan/gram [3][52]. - Palladium futures main contract PD2606 is likely to have a strong - side fluctuation, attacking resistance levels at 385.7 and 390.3 yuan/gram, with support levels at 375.5 and 374.6 yuan/gram [3][56]. - Copper futures main contract CU2601 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, with support levels at 89000 and 88500 yuan/ton and resistance levels at 89700 and 90000 yuan/ton [4][57]. - Aluminum futures main contract AL2601 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, with support levels at 21830 and 21730 yuan/ton and resistance levels at 22000 and 22050 yuan/ton [4][64]. - Alumina futures main contract AO2601 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, hitting support levels at 2640 and 2620 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 2677 and 2692 yuan/ton, and may hit a record low since listing [4][68]. - Polysilicon futures main contract PS2601 is likely to have a wide - range fluctuation, with support levels at 55700 and 55200 yuan/ton and resistance levels at 57400 and 57700 yuan/ton [4][73]. - Lithium carbonate futures main contract LC2605 is likely to have a strong wide - range fluctuation, with resistance levels at 98900 and 101200 yuan/ton and support levels at 95000 and 93500 yuan/ton [4][78]. - Rebar futures main contract RB2605 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, hitting support levels at 3146 and 3135 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 3176 and 3186 yuan/ton [4][83]. - Hot - rolled coil futures main contract HC2605 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, hitting support levels at 3312 and 3298 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 3340 and 3358 yuan/ton [4][85]. - Iron ore futures main contract I2601 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, with support levels at 795 and 790 yuan/ton and resistance levels at 805 and 808 yuan/ton [5][88]. - Coking coal futures new main contract JM2605 is likely to have a weak - side fluctuation, hitting support levels at 1144 and 1125 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 1188 and 1201 yuan/ton [7][91]. - Glass futures main contract FG601 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, hitting support levels at 1016 and 1004 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 1046 and 1051 yuan/ton [7][95]. - Soda ash futures main contract SA601 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, hitting support levels at 1155 and 1141 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 1185 and 1191 yuan/ton [7][101]. - Crude oil futures main contract SC2601 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, hitting support levels at 445 and 441 yuan/barrel, with resistance levels at 453 and 456 yuan/barrel [7][105]. - PTA futures main contract TA601 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, hitting support levels at 4720 and 4688 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 4756 and 4778 yuan/ton [7][110]. - PVC futures main contract V2601 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, hitting support levels at 4526 and 4500 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 4576 and 4593 yuan/ton [7][112]. - Soybean meal futures main contract M2605 is likely to have a weak fluctuation, with support levels at 2835 and 2823 yuan/ton and resistance levels at 2865 and 2892 yuan/ton [7][114]. 2. Macro Information and Trading Tips - China and Russia held a strategic security consultation, reaching new consensus on major issues related to strategic security interests, including the issues of Japan and the Ukraine crisis [8]. - Some Japanese organizations expressed their willingness to visit China. The Chinese Foreign Ministry hopes these organizations play a positive role in Japan [8]. - Fujian issued 12 policies to support Taiwan - related businesses, promoting the construction of a cross - strait integration development demonstration zone [8]. - The head of the National Development and Reform Commission pointed out that the "15th Five - Year Plan" will prioritize the construction of a modern industrial system, focusing on optimizing traditional industries and developing emerging and future industries [8]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation issued a management method for credit restoration, which will be implemented on December 25 [9]. - Five departments including the National Development and Reform Commission proposed measures to strengthen the construction of data - related disciplines and talent teams [9]. - US President Trump plans to announce the next Federal Reserve Chairman in early 2026, and it is rumored that the White House National Economic Council Director Hassett is the likely candidate [9]. - The US and Ukraine held high - level talks, and the Ukrainian delegation submitted a detailed report on the talks [9]. - Costco sued the US government, claiming that the so - called "reciprocal tariffs" are illegal and seeking a full refund [10]. - The OECD predicted that the global economic growth rate will be 3.2% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, the US economy will grow by 2% and 1.7% respectively, and the eurozone economy will grow by 1.3% and 1.2% respectively [10]. - The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development predicted that the global economic growth will slow down to 2.6% in 2025, lower than 2.9% in 2024 [10]. - The preliminary value of the eurozone's CPI in November increased by 2.2% year - on - year, strengthening the market's expectation that the European Central Bank will not cut interest rates again this year [10]. 3. Commodity Futures - Related Information - On December 2, international precious metal futures closed with mixed results. COMEX gold futures fell 0.84% to $4238.70 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 0.01% to $59.15 per ounce [11]. - On December 2, the US crude oil main contract fell 1.23% to $58.59 per barrel, and the Brent crude oil main contract fell 1.28% to $62.36 per barrel. The unexpected increase in US API crude oil inventory last week raised concerns about oversupply [11]. - On December 2, London base metals all declined. LME zinc futures fell 1.32% to $3055.50 per ton, LME nickel futures fell 1.26% to $14740.00 per ton, etc. [12]. - On December 2, the on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.0712 at 16:30, up 13 basis points from the previous trading day, and closed at 7.0725 at night. The central parity rate of the RMB against the US dollar was set at 7.0794, down 35 basis points [12]. - On December 2, at the New York session's end, the US dollar index fell 0.09% to 99.32, and most non - US currencies rose [12].