Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][6] Core Views - The report highlights stable dividends and revenue growth attributed to the consolidation of Ma'anshan College, with a projected revenue of 1.872 billion yuan for FY2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.6% [2][3] - The net profit is expected to decline by 9.6% year-on-year to 748 million yuan in FY2025, primarily due to increased educational investments and a decrease in gross margin [2][4] - The company plans to distribute interim and final dividends of 0.07 and 0.06 HKD respectively, resulting in a payout ratio of 30% and a dividend yield of 9.03% [2] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The revenue growth is significantly influenced by the consolidation of Ma'anshan College, with a 5% increase in student enrollment [3] - For FY2025, tuition, accommodation, and other educational service revenues are projected to be 1.757 billion, 107 million, and 8 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.7%, 10.0%, and 1.7% [3] - The gross margin is expected to decline to 45.7% in FY2025, down 10.3 percentage points year-on-year, due to increased investments in high-quality educational teams and facilities [4] Financial Projections - The company anticipates a stable growth in student enrollment, with a projected total of 77,000 full-time students in FY2025, of which 69,000 are undergraduates [5] - Revenue forecasts for FY2026 and FY2027 have been adjusted upwards to 2.018 billion and 2.138 billion yuan respectively, while net profit estimates have been revised downwards to 774 million and 825 million yuan [5][6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for FY2026 and FY2027 are adjusted to 0.38 and 0.41 yuan respectively [6] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - The company reported cash and cash equivalents of 1.164 billion yuan for FY2025, an increase of 4.8% year-on-year, indicating a strong cash position [4] - Capital expenditures are expected to rise to 443 million yuan in FY2025, primarily for establishing new campuses and upgrading existing facilities [4]
中国科培（01890）：稳定分红，马鞍山学院并表带来收入增量