Ruida Futures(SZ:002961) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-12-03 10:06Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - On December 3, the JM2601 contract closed at 1070.5, down 2.19%. The coking coal market is in a bottom - oscillating state with short - term multi - empty fluctuations. The mine capacity utilization rate has declined, and the coking coal inventory of mid - upstream mines and coal washing plants has increased for 4 - 5 consecutive weeks. The inventory is at a neutral level, and the inventory of mid - downstream has a seasonal upward trend. Technically, the daily K - line is below the 20 - day and 60 - day moving averages, and the short - term trend is oscillating [2]. - On December 3, the J2601 contract closed at 1624.5, up 0.40%. The first round of price cuts for coke in the spot market has been implemented. The iron - making output has decreased, and the total coke inventory is higher than the same period. The average profit per ton of coke for 30 independent coking plants is 46 yuan/ton. Technically, the daily K - line is below the 20 - day and 60 - day moving averages, and the short - term trend is oscillating [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - JM主力合约收盘价为1070.50元/吨，较前一日下跌26.00元；J主力合约收盘价为1624.50元/吨，较前一日下跌5.00元[2]。 - JM期货合约持仓量为848358.00手，较前一日增加5949.00手；J期货合约持仓量为46528.00手，较前一日减少755.00手[2]。 - 焦煤前20名合约净持仓为 - 97300.00手，较前一日增加13619.00手；焦炭前20名合约净持仓为283.00手，较前一日减少63.00手[2]。 - JM5 - 1月合约价差为94.00元/吨，较前一日增加11.00元；J5 - 1月合约价差为127.00元/吨，较前一日减少8.00元[2]。 - 焦煤仓单为600.00张，较前一日无变化；焦炭仓单为2070.00张，较前一日无变化[2]。 Spot Market - 干其毛都蒙5原煤价格为1000.00元/吨，较前一日无变化；唐山一级冶金焦价格为1830.00元/吨，较前一日无变化[2]。 - 俄罗斯主焦煤远期现货（CFR）价格为162.00美元/湿吨，较前一日无变化；日照港准一级冶金焦价格为1620.00元/吨，较前一日无变化[2]。 - 京唐港澳大利亚进口主焦煤价格为1510.00元/吨，较前一日无变化；天津港一级冶金焦价格为1720.00元/吨，较前一日无变化[2]。 - 京唐港山西产主焦煤价格为1670.00元/吨，较前一日无变化；天津港准一级冶金焦价格为1620.00元/吨，较前一日无变化[2]。 - 山西晋中灵石中硫主焦价格为1610.00元/吨，较前一日无变化；J主力合约基差为205.50元/吨，较前一日增加5.00元[2]。 - 内蒙古乌海产焦煤出厂价为1350.00元/吨，较前一日无变化；JM主力合约基差为539.50元/吨，较前一日增加26.00元[2]。 Upstream Situation - 314家独立洗煤厂精煤日产量为27.10万吨，较前一日增加0.50万吨；314家独立洗煤厂精煤周库存为321.40万吨，较前一周增加16.10万吨[2]。 - 314家独立洗煤厂产能利用率为0.37%，较前一周无变化；原煤月产量为40675.00万吨，较前一月减少475.50万吨[2]。 - 煤及褐煤月进口量为4174.00万吨，较前一月减少426.00万吨；523家炼焦煤矿山原煤日均产量为191.30万吨，较前一日减少2.10万吨[2]。 - 16个港口进口焦煤周库存为465.00万吨，较前一周增加8.10万吨；焦炭18个港口周库存为247.20万吨，较前一周减少6.20万吨[2]。 - 独立焦企全样本炼焦煤周库存为1010.30万吨，较前一周减少27.89万吨；独立焦企全样本焦炭周库存为71.76万吨，较前一周增加6.47万吨[2]。 - 全国247家钢厂炼焦煤周库存为801.30万吨，较前一周增加4.22万吨；全国247家样本钢厂焦炭周库存为625.52万吨，较前一周增加3.18万吨[2]。 Industry Situation - 独立焦企全样本炼焦煤可用天数为13.01天，较前一周增加0.04天；247家样本钢厂焦炭可用天数为11.29天，较前一周增加0.24天[2]。 - 炼焦煤月进口量为1059.32万吨，较前一月减少33.04万吨；焦炭及半焦炭月出口量为73.00万吨，较前一月增加19.00万吨[2]。 - 炼焦煤月产量为4231.51万吨，较前一月增加255.59万吨；独立焦企产能利用率为72.95%，较前一周增加1.24%[2]。 - 独立焦化厂吨焦盈利为46.00元/吨，较前一周增加27.00元[2]。 - 焦炭月产量为4189.60万吨，较前一月减少66.00万吨[2]。 Downstream Situation - 全国247家钢厂高炉开工率为81.07%，较前一周下降1.10%；247家钢厂高炉炼铁产能利用率为87.96%，较前一周下降0.60%[2]。 - 粗钢月产量为7199.70万吨，较前一月减少149.31万吨[2]。 Industry News - As of December 2, the issuance scale of local government bonds nationwide was approximately 10.1 trillion yuan, with local government annual bond issuance exceeding 10 trillion yuan for the first time [2]. - Six state - owned large - scale banks have stopped selling 5 - year large - denomination certificates of deposit [2]. - The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development predicted that the global economic growth in 2025 would slow down to 2.6%, lower than 2.9% in 2024 [2]. - The OECD estimated that the global economic growth would be 3.2% in 2025, 2.9% in 2026, and 3.1% in 2027, and China's economic growth in 2025 would be 5% [2].