Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - On December 3rd, the coke main contract closed at 1,624.5 yuan/ton, with an intraday increase of 0.40%. The spot price of Rizhao Port's quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke decreased week - on - week, while that of Qingdao Port remained flat. Coke production increased, but steel mill demand was under pressure due to reduced iron water output and low profitability. In December, there is still uncertainty in coking coal supply, and there is resistance to further decline in coke futures [6][38]. - On December 3rd, the coking coal main contract closed at 1,070.5 points, with an intraday decline of 2.19%. The spot price of Mongolian coal at Ganqimaodu Port decreased week - on - week. The supply side is the core factor affecting the market. Recent policies and stable production have weakened the supply - side support for coal prices, but considering the December Politburo economic meeting and year - end coal mine production reduction expectations, there is resistance to further decline in coking coal futures [7][39]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Industry News - The China Logistics and Purchasing Federation released that the China Logistics Prosperity Index in November was 50.9%, up 0.2 percentage points month - on - month. The central and western regions had higher business volume indices than the national average, and the fixed - asset investment completion index remained in a high - prosperity range [9]. - On December 3rd, the price of coking coal in Linfen Anze market dropped by 80 yuan/ton, with the ex - factory price of low - sulfur main coking coal being 1,500 yuan/ton [10]. 3.2 Spot Market - The table shows the price changes of coke and coking coal in different markets (Rizhao Port, Qingdao Port, Ganqimaodu Port, Jingtang Port, etc.) on a weekly, monthly, annual, and year - on - year basis. For example, the quasi - first - grade coke price at Rizhao Port decreased by 2.99% week - on - week, and the Mongolian coal price at Ganqimaodu Port decreased by 6.25% week - on - week [11]. 3.3 Futures Market - The table presents the trading information of coke and coking coal main contracts, including closing price, price change, highest price, lowest price, trading volume, volume difference, open interest, and open interest difference. The coke main contract had an intraday increase of 0.40%, while the coking coal main contract had an intraday decline of 2.19% [14]. 3.4 Related Charts - There are multiple charts showing the inventory of coke (230 independent coking plants, 247 steel mill coking plants, ports, etc.) and coking coal (mine mouth, ports, 247 sample steel mills, etc.), as well as other related production and market data such as steel mill production, Shanghai terminal wire and screw procurement, coal washing plant production, and coking plant operation [15][20][21]. 3.5后市研判 - The analysis of coke and coking coal is consistent with the core views, emphasizing the current market situation, price trends, supply - demand relationships, and future focus on coal mine production [38][39].
多空僵持,煤焦低位整理
Bao Cheng Qi Huo·2025-12-03 10:26