Group 1 - The report indicates a combination of "loose monetary policy + credit easing," with a low risk of tightening in the funding environment, which continues to support macroeconomic and asset performance [1][13][19] - In November, the A-share market is expected to stabilize as liquidity disturbances and risk appetite weaken, with major indices experiencing a general pullback [2][31] - The report highlights that the bond market remains resilient despite weak fundamentals, with a slight increase in credit bond indices and a decline in government bond yields [3][38] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of large-cap growth stocks in the current market environment, supported by China's manufacturing PMI and industrial output growth [19][20][21] - It suggests a quantitative asset allocation model for domestic assets, recommending 30% in stocks, 35% in bonds, 23.3% in crude oil, and 11.7% in gold under an aggressive allocation scenario [24][26] - The report notes a divergence in global central bank policies, with a trend towards easing but with varying degrees among different economies, impacting investment strategies [56][57]
大类资产月度策略（2025.12）：股债岁末盘整，原油寒意未消-20251203
Guoxin Securities·2025-12-03 10:59