Xinda Securities·2025-12-03 14:50Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that the throughput of crude oil and dry bulk cargo is under pressure, while container throughput is experiencing significant growth [2][8] - From January to October 2025, the total import and export value reached 37.31 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, with exports growing by 6.2% [17] - Coastal major ports achieved a cargo throughput of 96.44 billion tons, up 3.5% year-on-year, with foreign trade cargo throughput at 41.91 billion tons, increasing by 3.6% [3][34] Summary by Sections 1. Overview: National Import and Export Total and Cargo Throughput - The total import and export value from January to October 2025 was 37.31 trillion yuan, with imports at 15.19 trillion yuan (flat year-on-year) and exports at 22.11 trillion yuan (up 6.2%) [17] - Coastal major ports' cargo throughput reached 96.44 billion tons, a 3.5% increase year-on-year, while foreign trade cargo throughput was 41.91 billion tons, up 3.6% [3][34] 2. Container: Container Shipping Rates and Throughput - As of November 28, 2025, the China Container Freight Index (CCFI) was at 1121.8 points, down 23.58% year-on-year, while the Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) was at 1403.13 points, down 35.04% year-on-year [4][37] - From January to October 2025, container throughput at coastal major ports reached 25.908 million TEUs, a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [4][43] 3. Liquid Bulk: Oil Shipping Rates and Crude Oil Throughput - The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) was at 1452 points on November 28, 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 62.78% [5][45] - Crude oil imports from January to October 2025 totaled 471 million tons, a 3.1% increase year-on-year, while the throughput at major crude oil receiving ports was 329 million tons, down 3.25% year-on-year [6][53] 4. Dry Bulk: Bulk Shipping Rates and Iron Ore, Coal Throughput - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was at 2560 points on November 28, 2025, up 89.07% year-on-year [7][55] - From January to October 2025, iron ore throughput at major ports reached 1.164 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.45%, while coal throughput was 571 million tons, down 0.28% year-on-year [61][70] 5. Key Port Listed Companies Monthly Throughput - In October 2025, major port companies reported various throughput figures, with Shanghai Port Group achieving a cargo throughput of 0.49 billion tons and container throughput of 453.5 million TEUs [73]