WONDFO BIOTECH(SZ:300482) Huachuang Securities·2025-12-04 02:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [23]. Core Insights - The company's domestic business is experiencing temporary pressure, while its overseas operations are entering a phase of realization of results. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.69 billion yuan, a decrease of 22.52%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 134 million yuan, down 69.32% [1][7]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 445 million yuan, a decline of 26.66%, and a net loss of 55 million yuan, compared to a profit of 80 million yuan in the same period last year [1][7]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 3,065 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.8%. However, for 2025, revenue is expected to drop to 2,223 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 27.5% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 562 million yuan in 2024, with a significant drop to 162 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 71.2% [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to decrease from 1.20 yuan in 2024 to 0.35 yuan in 2025 [3]. Business Strategy and Market Position - The company is actively optimizing its operations in response to domestic market pressures, including cash flow management and divesting from less profitable segments. It aims to enhance operational efficiency and align its product matrix with policy directions to capture market opportunities in grassroots testing capabilities [7]. - The international business is gradually entering a growth phase, with steady contributions from the international department and the U.S. subsidiary. The company has established a local production capacity in the U.S. and is focusing on expanding its market share in North America, particularly in toxicology and respiratory testing [7]. Valuation and Price Target - The report estimates the company's overall valuation at 13.1 billion yuan, corresponding to a target price of approximately 28 yuan per share, based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model [7].