Minsheng Securities·2025-12-04 02:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD (002594.SZ) with a current price of 95.05 CNY [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in wholesale sales, with a month-on-month growth of 8.7% in November, driven by strong overseas sales performance [8]. - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 777.1 billion CNY in 2024 to 1,104.5 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.6% [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to rise from 40.3 billion CNY in 2024 to 58.6 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [2]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue Forecast: - 2024: 777.1 billion CNY - 2025: 866.5 billion CNY - 2026: 981.3 billion CNY - 2027: 1,104.5 billion CNY - Growth Rates: 29.0% in 2024, 11.5% in 2025, 13.3% in 2026, 12.6% in 2027 [2]. - Net Profit Forecast: - 2024: 40.3 billion CNY - 2025: 37.2 billion CNY - 2026: 47.5 billion CNY - 2027: 58.6 billion CNY - Growth Rates: 34.0% in 2024, -7.5% in 2025, 27.4% in 2026, 23.4% in 2027 [2]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2024: 4.42 CNY - 2025: 4.09 CNY - 2026: 5.21 CNY - 2027: 6.43 CNY [2]. - Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio: - 2025: 23 - 2026: 18 - 2027: 15 [2]. - Price-to-Book (PB) Ratio: - 2025: 3.3 - 2026: 3.2 - 2027: 2.7 [2]. Sales Performance - In November, BYD's wholesale sales of new energy vehicles reached 480,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 5.3% but a month-on-month increase of 8.7% [8]. - Cumulative wholesale sales from January to November totaled 4.131 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.4% [8]. - The export volume of new energy vehicles in November was 132,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 325.9% and a month-on-month increase of 57.2% [8].