GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-12-04 03:41Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the optical and optoelectronic industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The panel industry is showing signs of price stabilization, with expectations for a rebound in prices as the peak stocking season approaches, particularly ahead of the Chinese New Year [1] - The upcoming "tax refund wave" in the U.S. and the 2026 World Cup in North America are anticipated to stimulate demand for large-sized panels, especially those 50 inches and above, as consumers upgrade their televisions for viewing sports events [2] - Supply-side improvements are expected due to seasonal maintenance by domestic panel manufacturers and the exit of South Korean manufacturers from certain production lines, which may lead to a price recovery in the panel industry [3] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report highlights that the panel industry is on the verge of a turnaround, with price stabilization expected in December 2025 for various sizes of television panels, while a slight decrease in price for 65-inch panels is projected [1] - The report cites data from Omdia, predicting that prices for 32/43/50/55-inch television panels will stop declining by December 2025, with a potential increase of $1-2 for non-strategic customers for 55/65/75-inch products [1] Demand Drivers - The anticipated tax refunds in the U.S. are expected to increase disposable income for consumers, which could drive demand for large-sized panels [2] - The World Cup is projected to create a significant demand spike for large television panels, with procurement peaks occurring 6-9 months prior to the event [2] Supply Dynamics - Seasonal maintenance activities by domestic manufacturers typically lead to a decrease in production rates around the Chinese New Year, which may further tighten supply [3] - The exit of LG Display from certain production lines is expected to contribute to a more favorable supply environment for the panel industry [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic panel industry players, specifically mentioning companies such as BOE Technology Group, TCL Technology, and Rainbow Technology as potential investment targets [3]