计算机行业2025年12月投资策略暨财报总结:2025Q3:海外大厂业绩均超预期,资本开支持续上行
Guoxin Securities·2025-12-04 07:17

Core Insights - The report indicates that major overseas tech companies have exceeded market expectations in their Q3 2025 earnings, showcasing strong revenue growth and robust cloud business performance [1][11][33] - Capital expenditures (CapEx) for these companies continue to rise significantly, driven by investments in AI and cloud infrastructure, raising concerns about profit margins and return on investment [2][58][61] Company Summaries Microsoft - Microsoft reported Q1 FY26 revenue of $77.67 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18%, slightly above market expectations [11] - The intelligent cloud segment generated $30.9 billion in revenue, growing 28% year-on-year, with Azure cloud services seeing a remarkable 40% growth [12][15] - Capital expenditures reached $34.9 billion, a 74.5% increase year-on-year, primarily focused on AI and infrastructure investments [14][15] Meta - Meta's Q3 2025 revenue was $51.24 billion, up 26.25% year-on-year, surpassing both the upper limit of guidance and market expectations [19] - The company faced a significant drop in net profit due to a one-time tax asset impairment, but adjusted net profit was $18.6 billion [19][21] - Capital expenditures totaled $19.37 billion, primarily for servers and data centers, exceeding market expectations [23][26] Google - Google achieved Q3 2025 revenue of $102.35 billion, a 15.95% increase year-on-year, with net profit rising 32.99% [33][36] - The Google Cloud segment reported revenue of $15.16 billion, growing 33.51% year-on-year, driven by strong demand for AI products [36][42] - Capital expenditures for Q3 were $23.95 billion, with a forecasted increase for the full year to $91-93 billion [42] Amazon - Amazon's Q3 2025 revenue reached $180.17 billion, a 13% year-on-year increase, with net profit rising 38% [43][46] - AWS revenue was $33.01 billion, marking a 20% year-on-year growth, the highest quarterly growth rate in 2023 [46][52] - Capital expenditures were $34.2 billion, a 61% increase year-on-year, with expectations for continued growth in FY2026 [52][56] Market Trends - The report highlights a trend of increasing capital expenditures across major tech firms, indicating a competitive "arms race" in AI and cloud infrastructure [58][61] - Investors are advised to monitor financial performance indicators such as revenue growth, gross margins, and changes in CapEx guidance, as these will impact long-term cash flow and profitability [3][62]