BOHAI SECURITIES·2025-12-04 08:05Key Points Summary Industry Overview - The mechanical equipment industry is expected to see continued investment opportunities, particularly in the engineering machinery and robotics sectors, driven by domestic demand and infrastructure projects [1][6]. - The industry has experienced a recovery in demand, with excavator and loader sales maintaining growth, supported by favorable domestic construction activity and government policies aimed at expanding effective investment [6][39]. Engineering Machinery - In October 2025, excavator sales reached 18,096 units, a year-on-year increase of 7.77%, with domestic sales at 8,468 units (up 2.44%) and exports at 9,628 units (up 12.90%) [28]. - The sales of various types of loaders increased by 27.70% year-on-year, totaling 10,673 units, with domestic sales growing by 33.23% [33]. - The industry is benefiting from a clear growth logic in downstream demand, with major projects expected to drive further recovery [6][39]. Robotics - In October 2025, China's industrial robot production increased by 17.90% year-on-year, reaching 57,900 units, with cumulative production for the first ten months at approximately 602,700 units, up 28.80% [43]. - The market for industrial robots in China remains the largest globally, with significant room for growth in per capita ownership density [6][43]. Market Performance - From November 2 to December 2, 2025, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index fell by 1.86%, while the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Index declined by 3.67%, underperforming the broader market by 1.81 percentage points [5][60]. - As of December 2, 2025, the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Index had a price-to-earnings ratio (PE, TTM) of 43.59, representing a valuation premium of 210.68% over the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [67]. Company Recommendations - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the industry and recommends "buy" ratings for specific companies, including Zoomlion Heavy Industry (000157), Hengli Hydraulic (601100), Jiechang Drive (603583), and Haomai Technology (002595) [7].