BOHAI SECURITIES·2025-12-04 09:25Group 1: Industry Overview - The computer industry index increased by 18.54% from January 1, 2025, to November 28, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.50 percentage points [3][17] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the computer industry generated revenue of 935.84 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.14%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 23.14 billion yuan, up 31.95% year-on-year [3][24] - The third quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 324.49 billion yuan, a 4.75% year-on-year growth, with net profit increasing by 23.30% to 10.26 billion yuan [3][24] Group 2: AI Computing Power - AI computing power demand is driving growth in the global data center market, which is expected to reach 652.01 billion dollars by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.53% from 2018 [35] - China's data center market is projected to grow from 68.01 billion yuan in 2018 to 261.33 billion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 25.15% [35] - The introduction of supernode technology is expected to break through computing power bottlenecks, enhancing efficiency and scalability in AI applications [62][66] Group 3: AI Models - Global large model iterations are accelerating, with domestic manufacturers focusing on open-source models to narrow the gap with overseas closed-source models [69] - Domestic open-source models are gaining traction, with eight out of the top ten in the global open-source model intelligence index being Chinese [73][76] - The performance gap between domestic open-source models and international top-tier closed-source models is narrowing, with domestic models offering better cost-performance ratios [76] Group 4: AI Applications - AI applications are transitioning towards intelligent agents, with major internet companies accelerating the commercialization of C-end applications [82] - Alibaba's Qwen App, based on open-source models, aims to become a comprehensive AI life portal, achieving over 10 million downloads shortly after launch [83] - The development of AI agents is expected to enhance user engagement and create a complete AI business ecosystem [83] Group 5: Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on opportunities in AI applications and self-control developments for 2026, with a positive outlook on the AI computing power sector [84][85] - Continuous growth in capital expenditure from major cloud computing firms supports the high prosperity of the AI computing power industry [84] - The competition in the global large model field is intensifying, which is likely to drive technological innovation and accelerate application deployment [84]