股指期货将偏强震荡黄金、铝、锌、锡期货将偏强震荡氧化铝、烧碱期货再创上市以来新低铁矿石、焦煤、玻璃、纯碱期货将偏弱震荡原油、玉米期货将偏强震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-12-05 02:56

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis using tools like the golden section line, horizontal line, and moving average, the report predicts the likely trends of various futures main contracts on December 5, 2025. Futures such as stock index futures, gold, aluminum, zinc, tin, crude oil, and corn are expected to have a strong - biased shock; contracts like ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures, silver, alumina, iron ore, coking coal, glass, soda ash, caustic soda, and soybean meal are expected to have a weak - biased shock; while copper, rebar, and hot - rolled coil futures are expected to oscillate and consolidate [2][3][6]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Futures Market Outlook Stock Index Futures - On December 4, 2025, the main contracts of stock index futures IF2512, IH2512, IC2512, and IM2512 all showed a pattern of opening slightly higher, fluctuating up and down, and closing with small increases. On December 5, they are expected to have a strong - biased shock. The resistance and support levels for each contract are provided [13][14][15][18]. Treasury Bond Futures - On December 4, ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures main contracts T2603 and TL2603 both declined. The ten - year contract T2603 opened slightly lower, fell in a weak oscillation, and the thirty - year contract TL2603 gapped down and fell sharply. On December 5, both are expected to have a weak - wide - range shock [33][35]. Precious Metal Futures - Gold futures main contract AU2602 on December 4 opened slightly higher, rebounded but then fell back. It is expected to have a strong - biased shock on December 5. Silver futures main contract AG2602 on December 4 opened slightly higher, oscillated downwards, and is expected to have a weak - biased shock on December 5 [39][47]. Base Metal Futures - Copper, aluminum, zinc, and tin futures main contracts all showed different degrees of upward movement on December 4. They are expected to have a strong - biased shock or oscillate and consolidate on December 5. Alumina futures main contract AO2601 declined on December 4 and is expected to continue its weak - biased shock and reach a new low on December 5 [53][56][60][65]. Other Commodity Futures - Carbonate lithium, rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, glass, soda ash, caustic soda, crude oil, soybean meal, corn, and palm oil futures main contracts all had their respective trends on December 4. Their trends on December 5 are predicted to be strong - biased shock, weak - biased shock, or oscillate and consolidate [72][76][80][82]. 2. Macro Information and Trading Tips - There were various macro - events including Sino - French summit talks, statements on the Taiwan issue, trade - related news, central bank's monetary policy operations, and local "15th Five - Year Plan" proposals focusing on artificial intelligence [8][9]. 3. Commodity Futures - Related Information - On December 4, international crude oil prices rose, precious metal futures had mixed results, and London base metals had mixed performances. The World Gold Council's outlook for 2026 suggests that gold prices may continue to rise by 15% - 30% [11][12].