杭氧股份(002430):空分设备构筑基本盘,工业气体业务成新增长曲线

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [1]. Core Insights - The company, Hangyang Co., Ltd., is a leading domestic manufacturer of air separation equipment, with its gas sales business emerging as a new growth driver. The core business segments are air separation equipment and gas sales, which together are expected to contribute nearly 90% of revenue by 2024 [7][13]. - The air separation equipment market is experiencing a trend towards larger-scale production, with significant demand from the petrochemical and coal chemical industries, which are expected to drive future growth [7][40]. - The industrial gas market is a cyclical industry with a current market size of over 200 billion yuan in China, and the company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing trend of domestic production and increasing outsourcing of gas supply [7][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Hangyang Co., Ltd. has a long history in air separation equipment, starting from the development of China's first oxygen generator in 1956. The company has since evolved into a leader in the domestic market, with a market share of 43% in 2020 [13][16]. - The gas sales business has grown significantly, increasing its revenue contribution from 2% in 2007 to 59% in 2024, indicating strong growth potential [16][19]. 2. Air Separation Equipment - The air separation equipment industry is characterized by a clear trend towards larger equipment, with average production capacity increasing from 0.5 million m³/h in 2011 to 2.4 million m³/h in 2020. The demand is concentrated in the steel, petrochemical, and coal chemical sectors [40][44]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for large-scale air separation equipment, particularly from new projects in the coal chemical sector in Xinjiang, which are projected to require substantial investment [46][47]. 3. Industrial Gas Market - The industrial gas market is a vital component of modern industrial production, with major applications in steel, petrochemicals, and electronics. The market is expected to grow significantly, with the company poised to capture a larger share as domestic production increases [19][37]. - The report highlights the potential for the company to expand its market share in the industrial gas sector, where it currently holds about 6% of the market, compared to over 60% for leading foreign competitors [7][19]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.16 billion yuan in 2025, with a corresponding dynamic P/E ratio of 24 times. The expected growth in gas prices alongside macroeconomic recovery is anticipated to support profitability [1][7].