市场进一步缩量，消费板块调整

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Overseas: Before the release of PCE data, market optimism has subsided, and the three major U.S. stock indexes showed mixed results [2]. - Domestic: The market remains in a state of shrinking volume and is in a volatile market with relatively low overall risks [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - Macro: China's Ministry of Commerce announced that the Chinese government is conducting export controls on rare - earth - related items in accordance with laws and regulations. Applications for civilian and compliant exports are approved in a timely manner. President Xi Jinping held talks with French President Macron, emphasizing mutual understanding and support on core interests and major concerns [1]. - Overseas: The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. last week unexpectedly decreased by 27,000 to 191,000, the lowest level since September 2022. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed with mixed results, with the Nasdaq rising 0.22% to 23,505.14 points [1]. - Stock Indexes: The three major A - share indexes showed divergent trends. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.51% to 3878 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 1.12%. Most sector indexes declined. The machinery, electronics, and national defense and military industries led the gains, while the beauty care, social services, commercial retail, and textile and apparel industries led the declines. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was less than 1.6 trillion yuan [1]. - Futures Market: In the futures market, the basis of IC and IM continued to repair, and the trading volume and open interest of the four major stock index futures decreased simultaneously [1]. Strategy The overseas market's optimism has subsided before the PCE data release. The domestic market maintains a shrinking volume and is in a volatile state with low risks [2]. Macro Economic Charts - The report includes charts showing the relationship between the U.S. dollar index and A - share trends, the U.S. Treasury yield and A - share trends, the RMB exchange rate and A - share trends, and the U.S. Treasury yield and A - share style trends [6][7]. Spot Market Tracking Charts - Table 1 shows the daily performance of major domestic stock indexes on December 4 and 3, 2025, including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, etc. For example, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.06% from 3878.00 to 3875.79 [12]. - Charts include the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and the margin trading balance [13]. Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts - Table 2 shows the trading volume and open interest of stock index futures (IF, IH, IC, IM). For example, the trading volume of IF decreased by 5184 to 92574, and the open interest decreased by 3942 to 261904 [16]. - Table 3 shows the basis (futures - spot) of stock index futures for different contracts (current month, next month, current quarter, next quarter). For example, the current - month contract basis of IF is - 15.97 with a change of - 3.12 [40]. - Table 4 shows the inter - delivery spread of stock index futures, including spreads such as next month - current month, next quarter - current month, etc. For example, the next - month - current - month spread of IF is - 18.40 with a change of - 2.40 [46][47]. - Charts include the open interest of different contracts, the latest open - interest ratio, foreign - funded net open - interest quantity, basis, and inter - delivery spread of different stock index futures [17][20][28][30][31][38][41][43][51].