Summary of 2025: "The End of the 14th Five-Year Plan" and Foundation Building - In 2025, the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) achieved multiple breakthroughs, with total market capitalization exceeding 820 billion yuan, number of accounts reaching 9.5 million, and average daily trading volume approaching 30 billion yuan, indicating a significant improvement in liquidity [4] - The market's "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" characteristics became more pronounced, with national-level "little giants" accounting for 61%, fostering a group of high-growth, scarce enterprises in sectors such as new energy, robotics, and AI [4][10] - The quality of enterprises continued to improve, with the average net profit of newly listed companies increasing from 30 million yuan to 110 million yuan over three years [4] - As of the first three quarters of 2025, the median revenue and net profit of BSE companies were 293 million yuan and 22 million yuan, respectively, while the BSE 50 component stocks reached 508 million yuan and 46 million yuan, indicating stable business operations [4] Outlook for 2026: "The Beginning of the 15th Five-Year Plan" - The BSE will focus on "scarcity" and "new quality productivity" as dual main lines for deepening its layout, with policies expected to continue along the path of "Deep Reform 19 Articles" [4] - The average first-day increase of IPOs in the first 11 months of 2025 was 356%, with average subscription funds exceeding 640 billion yuan, suggesting a continuation of active performance in the new share market in 2026 [4] - The BSE will emphasize sectors such as technology manufacturing (AI supply chain, solid-state batteries, humanoid robots, intelligent driving), new materials (semiconductor materials, specialty fibers), and distinctive consumption (health, beauty, emotional consumption) [4] Market Characteristics and Investment Opportunities - The BSE has a unique market structure, with 65% of companies having a market capitalization of less than 2.5 billion yuan, while over 40% of BSE 50 companies exceed 5 billion yuan, indicating a small-cap characteristic [4][19] - The BSE's PE ratio reached 44 times as of November 21, 2025, with a valuation discount disappearing, and the PE ratio compared to the Sci-Tech Innovation Board has decreased to about 60%, highlighting investment value [4][29][34] - The BSE's industry distribution is more concentrated in mechanical equipment, power equipment, and basic chemicals compared to the ChiNext and Sci-Tech Innovation Board, aligning with its "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" positioning [4][24][25] Performance and Growth Trends - The BSE's specialized and innovative component stocks showed the fastest revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 13% in the first three quarters of 2025 [35] - The median net profit of BSE 50 component stocks has surpassed that of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and ChiNext, indicating a positive trend in profitability [40] - The overall profit growth rate of BSE companies is under pressure, but the specialized and innovative enterprises exhibit resilience, making them worthy of attention [40][41]
—北交所2026年度投资策略:五载风劲,掘稀向新
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-12-05 09:33