多因子选股周报:超额全线回暖,四大指增组合本周均战胜基准-20251206
Guoxin Securities·2025-12-06 07:09
- The report tracks the performance of Guosen's quantitative enhanced index portfolios and public fund enhanced index products, as well as the performance of common stock selection factors in different stock selection spaces[11][12][15] - Guosen's quantitative enhanced index portfolios are constructed based on multi-factor stock selection, targeting benchmarks such as CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and CSI A500 indices, aiming to consistently outperform their respective benchmarks[11][12] - The construction process of Guosen's enhanced index portfolios includes three main components: return prediction, risk control, and portfolio optimization[12] - The MFE (Maximized Factor Exposure) portfolio is used to test the effectiveness of individual factors under real-world constraints, such as industry exposure, style exposure, stock weight deviation, and turnover rate. The optimization model maximizes single-factor exposure while adhering to these constraints[41][42][43] - The MFE optimization model is expressed as follows: $\begin{array}{ll}max&f^{T}\ w\ s.t.&s_{l}\leq X(w-w_{b})\leq s_{h}\ &h_{l}\leq H(w-w_{b})\leq h_{h}\ &w_{l}\leq w-w_{b}\leq w_{h}\ &b_{l}\leq B_{b}w\leq b_{h}\ &\mathbf{0}\leq w\leq l\ &\mathbf{1}^{T}\ w=1\end{array}$ where $f$ represents factor values, $w$ is the stock weight vector, and the constraints include limits on style factor exposure ($X$), industry exposure ($H$), stock weight deviation, and component stock weight proportions ($B_b$)[41][42][43] - The report also evaluates the performance of single-factor MFE portfolios across different stock selection spaces, including CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, CSI A500, and public fund heavy-holding indices[15][18][20][22][24][26] - The factor library includes over 30 factors categorized into valuation, reversal, growth, profitability, liquidity, volatility, corporate governance, and analyst-related dimensions. Examples include BP (Book-to-Price), single-quarter ROE, one-month reversal, and three-month turnover[16][17] - The public fund heavy-holding index is constructed using the holdings of ordinary stock funds and equity-biased hybrid funds. Stocks are selected based on cumulative weight reaching 90% of the average fund holdings[44] - The report tracks the excess returns of public fund enhanced index products for CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and CSI A500 indices. For example, in the CSI 300 enhanced products, the highest weekly excess return was 1.01%, and the highest annual excess return was 11.97%[28][32][35][37][40]