计算机行业周报:计算机2026年策略!合合信息深度发布-20251206
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-12-06 11:57

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the computer industry, highlighting key investment opportunities in AI computing, embodied intelligence, and AI applications [3][4]. Core Insights - The computer sector has seen an 18% increase from early 2025 to December 2, 2025, ranking 12th among all industries, driven by fundamentals and thematic investments [3][4]. - The gap between Chinese and American large models is narrowing, with expectations for further convergence and potential surpassing in certain areas by 2026 [3][20]. - The importance of AI infrastructure is increasing, with a focus on software layers that are rapidly expanding in market size and penetration [3][4]. - The report identifies key companies benefiting from AI advancements, including 合合信息, which is positioned as a leader in intelligent text recognition [3][4]. Summary by Sections 2026 Computer Annual Strategy - The strategy emphasizes the aggregation of computing power and the rise of applications, with AI being the main theme for 2026 [3][4]. - The report notes a significant rebound in revenue and net profit for the computer sector in 2025, confirming a fundamental turning point [9][10]. Large Models - The report discusses the acceleration of monetization for large models in 2025, with a focus on AI programming and multi-modal applications [20][23]. - It highlights that domestic models are catching up in performance and cost-effectiveness compared to their international counterparts [20][23]. Computing Power - The trend towards supernodes is clear, with domestic computing power achieving overall performance improvements [3][4]. - Quantum computing is beginning to move towards commercialization, with several breakthroughs expected in the second half of 2025 [3][4]. Applications - The report indicates that industry know-how serves as a competitive moat, with software entering an optimal layout period [3][4]. - It predicts that many companies will see AI revenue exceed 10%, marking a technological revolution in the software industry [3][4]. Key Companies and Investment Targets - The report lists several companies as key investment targets, including 金山办公, 海康威视, and 浪潮信息, among others, across various segments such as AIGC and digital economy leaders [3][4].