转债周度跟踪：转债价格中位数稳定在130元以上-20251206

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the equity and convertible bond markets were weak first and then strong. Due to the relatively weak performance of the underlying stocks, the valuation in the high - parity area rose against the trend to support the convertible bond price, and the median convertible bond price remained stable above 130 yuan. The convertible bonds showed strong resistance to decline during the equity market's volatile period, and the good supply - demand pattern still strongly supported the valuation. The convertible bond market still has overall opportunities, but in terms of structure, risks such as the decay of the time value of short - duration convertible bonds and unexpected forced redemptions should be guarded against [1][5] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Weekly Viewpoint and Outlook - The equity and convertible bond markets were weak first and then strong this week. The high - parity area valuation supported the convertible bond price. The convertible bonds had strong anti - decline ability, and the supply - demand pattern supported the valuation. Pay attention to the decline in the valuation of debt - oriented convertible bonds and the potential impact of forced redemptions. The equity market outlook is optimistic, but risks in convertible bonds need to be guarded against [1][5] 2. Convertible Bond Valuation - This week, the underlying stocks performed weakly, while the convertible bond valuation rebounded against the trend, with the 100 - yuan premium rate rising by 0.5% week - on - week to 29.9%. The current quantile level is at the 99.4% percentile since 2017. The valuation performance in the equity - oriented area was better than that in the debt - oriented area. The conversion premium rate in the 130 - 140 yuan parity range increased significantly, and that in the 100 - 120 yuan parity range also increased slightly. In the debt - oriented area, the conversion premium rate and the bottom - support premium rate in the 80 - 100 yuan parity range mainly declined. The median convertible bond price and the yield to maturity were reported at 131.61 yuan and - 6.56% respectively, with changes of + 0.51 yuan and - 0.01% from last week. Their current quantile levels are at the 98.10 and 1.30 percentiles since 2017 [4][6][10] 3. Terms Tracking 3.1 Redemption - This week, Nenghui, Xinhua, and Limin Convertible Bonds announced redemptions, and 3 convertible bonds announced non - redemptions, with a forced - redemption rate of 50%. Currently, there are 19 convertible bonds that have issued forced - redemption or maturity - redemption announcements but have not delisted. The potential conversion or maturity balance of these convertible bonds is 5.2 billion yuan. There are currently 31 convertible bonds in the redemption process. Next week, 7 are expected to meet the redemption conditions, and 9 are expected to issue announcements of potential redemption triggers. In addition, 12 convertible bonds are expected to enter the forced - redemption counting period within the next month [4][21][24] 3.2 Downward Revision - No convertible bond proposed a downward revision this week. As of now, 100 convertible bonds are in the non - downward - revision period, 20 cannot be downward - revised due to net - asset constraints, 1 has triggered the condition and the stock price is still below the downward - revision trigger price but no announcement has been made, 39 are accumulating days for downward revision, and 2 have issued board - of - directors' proposals for downward revision but have not yet held a general shareholders' meeting [4][27] 3.3 Put Option (Back Sale) - This week, Leger Convertible Bond issued a conditional put - option (back - sale) announcement. As of now, 6 convertible bonds are accumulating days to trigger the put - option condition. Among them, 1 proposed a downward revision, 1 is accumulating days for downward revision, and 4 are in the non - downward - revision period [4][30] 4. Primary Issuance - This week, Puxun Convertible Bond was issued. Maolai, Ruike, and Puxun Convertible Bonds have been issued but are pending listing. As of now, there are 8 convertible bonds in the approval - for - registration process, with a pending issuance scale of 7.1 billion yuan, and 8 in the listing - committee - approval process, with a pending issuance scale of 9.8 billion yuan [4][32]