Guoxin Securities·2025-12-07 05:21Investment Rating - The report maintains a "weaker than the market" investment rating for the U.S. stock market [4] Core Views - The market is showing a slowdown in price increases with a deepening industry divergence, as evidenced by the S&P 500's 0.3% increase and the Nasdaq's 1.0% increase this week [1] - The focus of capital flows is shifting towards technology, with significant inflows into software and services, automotive, and semiconductor sectors [2] - Earnings expectations for most industries are being revised upwards, indicating a generally stable outlook despite some sectors facing downward adjustments [3] Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The S&P 500 rose by 0.3%, while the Nasdaq increased by 1.0% this week, reflecting a mixed performance across sectors [1] - Small-cap growth stocks outperformed small-cap value stocks, and large-cap growth stocks outperformed large-cap value stocks [1] 2. Capital Flows - Estimated capital inflow for S&P 500 constituents was +$71.8 billion this week, down from +$214.0 billion the previous week [2] - Major inflows were seen in software and services (+$20.7 billion), automotive (+$20.6 billion), and semiconductor products (+$20.2 billion) [2] - Significant outflows occurred in utilities (-$4.6 billion) and pharmaceuticals (-$4.2 billion) [2] 3. Earnings Forecast - The dynamic future 12-month EPS expectation for S&P 500 constituents was adjusted upwards by 0.3% this week, consistent with the previous week's adjustment [3] - 22 industries saw upward revisions in earnings expectations, with notable increases in semiconductor products (+0.9%) and automotive (+0.5%) [3] - The energy sector experienced a slight downward adjustment of -0.1% [3]