行业点评报告:商业航天催化密集,产业或迎来快速增长拐点
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-12-07 09:45

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The defense and military industry is experiencing a significant increase in military trade orders both domestically and internationally, which is expected to drive growth [3] - The military index has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a 5.76% increase over the past two weeks compared to a 2.94% increase in the CSI 300, resulting in an excess return of 2.82 percentage points [5][14] - The current PE-TTM for the military industry is 69.33 times, which is at the 68.46% percentile since early 2015, indicating a relatively high valuation [24] Summary by Sections Market Review - The military index has risen by 5.76% from November 24 to December 5, ranking 6th among 31 industries [14] - The aerospace equipment sector has shown strong performance, increasing by 19.37% in the same period, while the naval equipment sector has declined by 1.67% [16] Industry News - Recent geopolitical tensions, such as the escalation in Venezuela and increased military spending in Turkey and India, are influencing the defense industry [6] - The successful launch of the Shenzhou-22 spacecraft and the establishment of a national commercial aerospace development fund indicate a potential turning point for the commercial aerospace sector [7] Valuation - The military industry's current PE-TTM is 69.33, which has increased from 67.34 two weeks prior, suggesting a positive outlook as the "14th Five-Year Plan" becomes clearer [24]