Web3行业研究：Strategy提及出售代币的可能性，持续看好矿场向数据中心转型

Investment Rating - The report maintains a cautious outlook on the cryptocurrency market, suggesting a neutral to optimistic sentiment as the December interest rate cut approaches, but expresses caution for the market's performance post-January 2026 [4][27]. Core Insights - Current market sentiment is relatively pessimistic, with a potential rebound expected in the short term due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4][27]. - The cryptocurrency market capitalization remains stable at $3.11 trillion, with Bitcoin and Ethereum experiencing slight declines of 1.7% and 0.3% respectively [10][11]. - The fear and greed index for cryptocurrencies is at 21, indicating a state of fear among investors [11]. - The average holding price for Bitcoin is approximately $56,354, which is below the short-term investors' cost but above that of long-term holders [11]. - The options market indicates a higher probability of price increases for Bitcoin in the coming month, with significant short liquidation expected if prices rise [12][12]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The total cryptocurrency market capitalization is $3.11 trillion, unchanged from the previous week [10]. - Bitcoin closed at $89,388, down 1.7%, while Ethereum closed at $3,024, down 0.3% [10][11]. - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is projected at 86.2% by CME FedWatch and 93% by Polymarket [10]. Global Policy and Industry News - The Chinese Internet Finance Association warns against illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies [20]. - The UK has officially recognized cryptocurrencies as property through new legislation [22][24]. - Russia plans to introduce comprehensive cryptocurrency regulations by 2026, potentially easing investor access [20][21]. Company News - Strategy has established a reserve of $1.44 billion to cover preferred stock dividends and debt interest [26]. - Twenty One Capital is set to merge with Cantor Equity Partners and will begin trading under the ticker "XXI" on December 9 [25]. - IREN successfully raised $3.6 billion, including $2 billion in convertible bonds and $1.6 billion from stock issuance [25]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on cryptocurrency mining companies that are transitioning to AI data centers and those with significant power reserves, such as IREN Limited and Riot Platform [4][27].