军工本周观点：继续看好商业航天产业加速-20251207

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the defense and military industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The report expresses optimism about the acceleration of the commercial aerospace industry, particularly following the successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket, which is China's first reusable liquid oxygen-methane rocket to achieve orbit. This breakthrough is expected to significantly reduce launch costs and enhance satellite deployment capabilities [44][45]. - The report highlights that the military industry is poised for strong demand recovery in 2026, driven by multiple catalysts including the nearing completion of the 14th Five-Year Plan and the centenary of the military [45]. - The report notes that the current price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for the military industry index is 69.33, indicating a high valuation but also a strong recovery expectation for the industry [45]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - From December 1 to December 5, the Shenwan Military Index rose by 2.82%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which increased by 1.28%, resulting in a relative excess return of 1.54 percentage points [8][15]. - The military index has increased by 17.8% since 2025, compared to a 16.51% rise in the CSI 300 Index, indicating a relative outperformance of 1.29 percentage points [17]. Key Developments - The successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket and the hosting of the 2025 Satellite Internet Industry Ecosystem Conference are significant events that have boosted the commercial aerospace sector [44]. - The report emphasizes the importance of reusable rocket technology in overcoming industry bottlenecks and transitioning from "capacity scarcity" to "scale application" [45]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on various segments within the military industry, including: 1. Land Equipment: Tianqin Equipment, Gaode Infrared, Ligong Navigation, Baiao Intelligent, Changcheng Military [45]. 2. Stealth Materials: Jiachitech, Huaqin Technology [45]. 3. Deep Sea: Western Materials, China Marine Defense [45]. 4. Engines: Aerospace Technology, Hangya Technology, Tunan Co. [45]. 5. AI and Intelligent Systems: Xingtuxinke, Aerospace Electronics [45].