期货技术分析周报：2025年第50周-20251207

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided in the given text. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current futures market shows a significant differentiation pattern. The precious metals and non - ferrous metals sectors are generally strong, while the energy and chemical sectors and the agricultural products sectors are weak. The four major stock index futures show a bullish trend, and the signals in the treasury bond futures market are also differentiated [1][2]. - In operation, it is necessary to treat different types of varieties differently. For strong varieties, avoid chasing high prices and focus on opportunities after corrections. For weak varieties, pay attention to risk control [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Colored and Precious Metals Sector - Gold in the precious metals sector shows a bullish signal, and silver is mainly oscillating. In the non - ferrous metals sector, zinc, lead, stainless steel, etc. show bullish signals, while industrial silicon, alumina, and lithium carbonate show bearish signals [10]. - For Shanghai copper CU2601, the medium - and long - term upward trend remains unchanged, with the key resistance level at 93,800 - 94,700 yuan/ton. There may be a short - term correction, but there is support at around 91,000 yuan/ton. If there is no top divergence and the Bollinger Band remains expanding during the correction, it is expected to continue the upward trend [12]. 3.2 Black and Shipping Sector - Coking coal and manganese silicon in the black sector show bullish signals, while rebar, hot - rolled coil, etc. show bearish signals. European line container shipping shows a bullish signal [20]. - For rebar RB2601, the mid - term upward repair still has momentum, but the MA60 moving average is a resistance level. The daily line shows that there are risk signals, and the upper resistance range is 3,200 - 3,250 yuan/ton [24]. 3.3 Energy and Chemical Sector - Crude oil in the energy sector shows a bullish signal, and LPG shows a bearish signal. In the chemical sector, p - xylene, plastic, etc. show bearish signals [30]. - For methanol 2601, the price mainly oscillates around the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the upward channel is not smooth. Bulls need to pay attention to position management [33]. 3.4 Agricultural Products Sector - Palm oil and red dates in the agricultural products sector show bullish signals, while soybean No.1, soybean meal, etc. show bearish signals [39]. - For sugar SR601, the medium - term price still has downward fluctuation space, and the short - term rebound power is weak. Pay attention to position management [44]. 3.5 Stock Index Futures Sector - The four major stock index futures all show bullish signals, among which the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 futures show strong bullish signals [50]. - For the IC CSI 500 futures, the short - term has a certain upward repair power, but the medium - term price mainly oscillates, and the upward space is limited. Pay attention to position management [52]. 3.6 Treasury Bond Futures Sector - The 2 - year and 10 - year treasury bond futures show bullish signals, while the 5 - year and 30 - year treasury bond futures mainly oscillate [57]. - For the T 10 - year treasury bond futures, if the price continues to deviate below the MA250, the downward pressure is large; if it fluctuates between the two moving averages, wait and see; if it stabilizes above the MA120, the downward risk weakens [60][62].