行业周报：柬埔寨公布对中免签政策，蜜雪、古茗进军早餐-20251207

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the growth in tourism between China and Cambodia, driven by the new visa-free policy, which is expected to boost tourist flows [5][15] - The breakfast market in China is identified as a significant opportunity, with major brands like Mixue and Guoming entering the segment [6][33] - The education sector is experiencing a shift towards vocational training due to declining numbers in traditional higher education applications, emphasizing employment-oriented education [39][44] - Lin Qingxuan, a high-end domestic skincare brand, is showing strong growth in both online and offline sales, with a notable increase in revenue and profit margins [45][50] Summary by Sections 1. Travel and Tourism - Cambodia has implemented a visa-free policy for Chinese citizens, expected to increase tourist numbers significantly, with a 45% year-on-year increase in Chinese tourists from January to October 2025 [5][15] - In November 2025, Hainan's duty-free shopping reached 2.38 billion yuan, a 27.1% increase year-on-year, despite a slight decrease in shopping visitors [23][24] 2. Breakfast Market - The breakfast market in China is valued at approximately 1.7 trillion yuan, with the external breakfast market estimated between 700 to 800 billion yuan [6][33] - Mixue has launched breakfast offerings in several cities, targeting consumers with affordable pricing [37][38] 3. Education Sector - The number of students taking the national college entrance examination has decreased for the first time in eight years, with a significant drop in graduate school applications [39][40] - Vocational education is gaining traction as students seek better employment outcomes, with a reported 95%+ employment rate in vocational programs [44] 4. Skincare Industry - Lin Qingxuan reported a revenue of 1.05 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a 98.3% year-on-year increase, with online sales growing significantly [45][47] - The brand's product mix includes a high proportion of premium skincare items, contributing to improved profit margins [50][55] 5. Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market saw the consumer services and media sectors underperforming, while the retail sector outperformed the market [59][65] - Notable stock performances included significant gains in retail and education sectors, with specific companies like Liufu Group and Gaoxin Retail leading the gains [65][66]