建筑行业周报:金融监管总局宣布调整险资入市政策,低估值建筑央企迎长期资金利好-20251208
Guotou Securities·2025-12-08 02:06

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the construction sector, particularly for state-owned enterprises with low valuations, benefiting from long-term capital inflows due to recent policy adjustments [1][17]. Core Insights - The Financial Regulatory Bureau has announced adjustments to insurance capital market entry policies, which will favor low-valuation construction state-owned enterprises by increasing long-term capital investment in the stock market [1][17]. - The construction sector and traditional state-owned enterprises are currently undervalued, with the SW construction and decoration sector's TTM price-to-earnings ratio at 9.2 times and traditional construction state-owned enterprises at 5.5 times [2][18]. - The overall performance of the infrastructure state-owned enterprise sector remains under pressure, but key operational indicators have improved, and many companies have increased their dividend payouts [2][18]. - The report highlights the potential for significant long-term capital inflows into the A-share market, with a target of 30% of new insurance premiums being allocated to A-shares starting in 2025 [1][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the recent policy changes aimed at increasing long-term capital investment in the stock market, particularly focusing on the construction sector as a beneficiary [1][17]. - It emphasizes the importance of cultivating patient capital and encouraging long-term investment strategies to reduce market volatility [1][17]. Market Performance - The construction industry experienced a slight decline of 0.07%, while the international engineering sector showed a positive performance with a 3.34% increase [20][23]. - The report notes that the construction sector's overall TTM price-to-earnings ratio is currently low compared to other sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities [26][30]. Key Companies to Watch - The report recommends focusing on several key state-owned enterprises, including China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and China Railway Construction, which are expected to benefit from the favorable policy environment and improved operational metrics [10][12][30]. - It also highlights companies in the cleanroom engineering sector, such as Yaxiang Integration and Shenghui Integration, which are poised to benefit from the growing demand for semiconductor and AI-related infrastructure [19][12]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the effects of debt reduction policies will gradually manifest by 2026, providing a stable defensive attribute to the state-owned enterprise sector [2][4]. - It also notes that the construction sector's international expansion strategies are yielding positive results, with significant growth in overseas contracts and revenue [11][12].