高频数据跟踪:物价持续上行,房地产季节性改善
China Post Securities·2025-12-08 05:35
- Report Information - Report Title: Fixed Income Report - Release Time: December 8, 2025 - Analysts: Liang Weichao (SAC Registration No.: S1340523070001), Cui Chao (SAC Registration No.: S1340523120001) [1][2] 2. Core Views - High - frequency economic data focuses on: production heat is differentiated; real estate market has seasonal improvement; prices continue to rise; the Baltic Dry Index continues to rise rapidly. Short - term focus on consumer and investment incremental policies and real estate market recovery [2][33] 3. Detailed Summaries by Section Production - Steel: Coke oven capacity utilization increased by 0.62 pct, blast furnace开工率 decreased by 0.93 pct, and rebar production decreased by 16.77 tons [3][10] - Petroleum Asphalt: Asphalt开工率 increased by 0.1 pct but remained at a low level [3][10] - Chemicals: PX开工率 decreased by 0.92 pct, and PTA开工率 remained flat [3][10] - Automobile Tires: All - steel tire开工率 increased by 0.17 pct, and semi - steel tire开工率 increased by 1.73 pct [3][11] Demand - Real Estate: The transaction area of commercial housing continued to rise, the inventory - to - sales ratio declined, land supply area decreased from a high level, and the premium rate of residential land transactions rebounded [4][15] - Movie Box Office: Increased by 1.648 billion yuan compared with the previous week [4][15] - Automobiles: The average daily retail sales of automobile manufacturers increased by 54,500 vehicles, and the average daily wholesale sales increased by 90,300 vehicles [4][18] - Shipping Freight Rates: SCFI index decreased by 0.39%, CCFI index decreased by 0.62%, and BDI index increased by 6.52% [4][21] Prices - Energy: Brent crude oil price rose by 0.87% to $63.75 per barrel, and coking coal futures price rose by 9.49% to 1,165 yuan per ton [5][23] - Metals: LME copper, aluminum, and zinc futures prices increased by 4.38%, 1.24%, and 1.56% respectively, and domestic rebar futures price increased by 2.13% [5][24] - Agricultural Products: The overall price increased, with the wholesale price index of agricultural products rising by 1.81%. Pork, eggs, vegetables, and fruits prices changed by - 0.84%, + 1.22%, + 2.42%, and + 2.63% respectively compared with the previous week [5][26] Logistics - Subway Passenger Volume: Decreased in Beijing and Shanghai [29] - Flight Volume: Domestic and international flight volumes decreased [31] - Urban Traffic: The peak congestion index of first - tier cities decreased slightly [31]