建议持续关注非银板块向上弹性
Changjiang Securities·2025-12-08 05:46

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [7]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong overall performance this week, with brokerages expected to maintain high growth trends in 2025. The report suggests focusing on the sector's future allocation value [2][4]. - The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) has issued a notice adjusting risk factors related to insurance companies' business, which is expected to enhance the certainty of ROE improvement and accelerate valuation recovery in the medium to long term [4][6]. - The report recommends companies with stable profit growth and dividend rates, including Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, as well as those with significant advantages in business models and market positions [4]. Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 2.3% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.0%. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is up 5.9%, but underperformed the CSI 300 by 10.6% [5][17]. - The average daily trading volume in the market decreased to 16,961.78 billion yuan, down 2.35% week-on-week, while the margin financing balance rose to 2.48 trillion yuan, up 0.48% [5][39]. Key Industry News & Company Announcements - The CBIRC has adjusted risk factors for insurance companies, which is expected to support the growth of patient capital and enhance service quality to the real economy [6][64]. - Companies such as Zhongtai Securities and New China Life have announced their respective stock issuance and dividend distribution plans for the first half of 2025 [6].