中资美元债周报：一级市场发行量明显回落，二级市场下跌-20251208

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Report's Core View - Last week, the primary market issuance of Chinese offshore bonds significantly declined, with 6 new bonds issued, totaling approximately $980 million. The secondary market of Chinese dollar bonds fell, with multiple US Treasury yields rising [1][3][4]. - Various macro - events, including expected US interest rate cuts, the US Treasury debt hitting a record high, and significant changes in economic data in the US, EU, and other regions, have an impact on the bond market [5][30][31]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Primary Market - Last week, the primary market issuance of Chinese offshore bonds significantly declined, with 6 new bonds issued, totaling approximately $980 million (converted to US dollars at the exchange rate on the pricing start date). The Agricultural Bank of China Tokyo Branch and the Bank of China Hong Kong Branch both issued $300 million bonds, the largest in scale last week. Chengdu Dongjin Huaizhou New City Investment Group Co., Ltd. issued a RMB 305 million senior unsecured guaranteed bond with a coupon rate of 5.9%, the highest - priced new bond last week [1][6][10]. 2. Secondary Market 2.1 Chinese Dollar Bond Index Performance - The Chinese dollar bond index (Bloomberg Barclays) fell 0.40% week - on - week, and the emerging market dollar bond index fell 0.04%. The investment - grade index of Chinese dollar bonds closed at 202.1549, down 0.43% for the week; the high - yield index closed at 159.0776, down 0.24% for the week [4][9]. - The Chinese dollar bond return index (Markit iBoxx) fell 0.27% week - on - week, closing at 250.5431. The investment - grade return index of Chinese dollar bonds closed at 243.714, down 0.29% for the week; the high - yield return index closed at 240.107, down 0.13% for the week [15]. 2.2 Chinese Dollar Bond Industry Performance - In terms of industries, the materials and non - essential consumption sectors led the rise, while the real estate and essential consumption sectors led the decline. The materials sector's yield decreased by 192.3bps, and the non - essential consumption sector's yield decreased by 6.9bps. The real estate sector's yield increased by 17.9Mbps, and the essential consumption sector's yield increased by 17.6bps [17][20]. 2.3 Chinese Dollar Bond Different Rating Performance - According to Bloomberg's comprehensive rating, investment - grade names all declined. The weekly yield of A - rated bonds increased by 7.7bps, and that of BBB - rated bonds increased by 8.2bps; high - yield names all declined. The yield of BB - rated bonds increased by 13.1bps, the yield of DD + to NR - rated bonds increased by about 6.8bps, and the yield of non - rated names increased by 5.6Mbps [21][22]. 2.4 Last Week's Bond Market Hot Events - Aoyuan Group failed to pay the principal and interest of 267 million yuan for "H20 Aoyuan 2" on schedule. As of November 30, 2025, the cumulative unpaid principal and interest of "H20 Aoyuan 2" was approximately 644 million yuan [22]. - Shanghai Shimao Construction Co., Ltd. had new pending lawsuits of 391 million yuan and multiple enforcement cases. As of November 30, the company had failed to pay the principal and interest of corporate bonds of approximately 2 billion yuan, and there was a new single - overdue interest - bearing debt of over 10 million yuan of about 120 million yuan in November [23]. 2.5 Last Week's Subject Rating Adjustments - The ratings of Shandong Yihe Industrial Investment Group, Xiaomi Group, AIA Group, Zhengzhou Urban Construction, and other companies were adjusted, mainly due to factors such as the support of local governments, the improvement of profitability, and the enhancement of strategic importance [25][26]. 3. US Treasury Bond Quotes - The report provides quotes and related information for 30 US Treasury bonds with maturities over 6 months, sorted by descending order of yield to maturity [27]. 4. Macro Data Tracking - As of December 5, the yields of 1 - year, 2 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year US Treasury bonds were 3.5895% (down 0.19bps from last week), 3.5603% (up 7.1bps from last week), 3.7113% (up 11.49bps from last week), and 4.1351% (up 12.19bps from last week), respectively [28][32]. 5. Macro News - Hassett expects a 25 - basis - point interest rate cut. The US Treasury debt has exceeded $30 trillion, doubling since 2018. The US November "small non - farm" had the largest decline in two and a half years. The US November ISM services PMI rose to 52.6, and the manufacturing PMI fell to 48.2. The US initial jobless claims last week reached a three - year low [30][31][33]. - The EU will ban the import of Russian natural gas starting from the autumn of 2027. The eurozone's November composite PMI reached a 30 - month high, and the CPI rose 2.2% year - on - year. The Japanese central bank is likely to raise the policy rate from 0.5% to 0.75% in December [37][38][40]. - The 2025 global economic growth is expected to slow to 2.6%. In November, the average price of new homes in 100 Chinese cities increased by 0.37% month - on - month and 2.68% year - on - year, while the average price of second - hand homes decreased. The retail sales of the national passenger car market in November decreased by 7% year - on - year [41][42][43]. - The new national standard for takeaways was introduced, and the wholesale volume of new - energy vehicles by national passenger car manufacturers in November increased by 20% year - on - year and 7% month - on - month [44][45].