光储行业跟踪:11月国内光伏组件产量环比下降,储能电芯延续高景气态势
Shanghai Aijian Securities·2025-12-08 12:18

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Strongly Outperforming the Market" [2][36]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a decline in domestic photovoltaic module production in November, while the demand for energy storage remains robust [2][5]. - The production forecast for December indicates a 5.3% month-on-month increase in battery production, with energy storage cells accounting for approximately 35.3% of the total [2][12]. - The report suggests focusing on companies related to photovoltaic and energy storage sectors, recommending specific stocks such as Sunshine Power, Nandu Power, and others [2][36]. Summary by Sections Production - In November 2025, the overall production of photovoltaic modules decreased by 2.43% compared to October [2][5]. - The forecast for December indicates a total production of 220 GWh for the Chinese market, with a month-on-month growth of 5.3% [2][12]. Prices - As of December 3, 2025, the price of polysilicon remained stable at 52.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of 183N monocrystalline silicon wafers decreased slightly to 1.18 CNY/piece [2][12]. - The average bid price for lithium iron phosphate battery energy storage systems in October was 0.5547 CNY/Wh, reflecting a 10% month-on-month increase [2][20]. Domestic Demand - In October 2025, the domestic photovoltaic installation capacity increased by 30.4% month-on-month, totaling 12.6 GW, while the cumulative installation for the year reached 252.87 GW, a 39.5% year-on-year increase [2][22]. - The energy storage sector saw a significant increase in new tender projects, with a year-on-year growth of 85% [2][28]. Overseas Demand - In October 2025, the export value of photovoltaic modules was approximately 2.258 billion USD, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.39% [2][32]. - The report notes a significant growth potential in emerging markets, particularly in Australia, where inverter exports have seen a substantial increase [2][34].