渤海证券研究所晨会纪要-20251209

Fund Research - The market saw a majority of equity indices rise, with the largest increase in the ChiNext Index, which rose by 1.86% during the week from December 1 to December 5, 2025 [2] - Public funds experienced significant inflows, with the first ETF tracking the CSI 300 Quality Index closing its fundraising, and Moer Thread emerging as the biggest winner in the offline allocation results [2] - Various equity fund types performed well, with equity funds averaging a rise of 0.93% and a positive return ratio of 76.27% [3] Company Research: Hongsoft Technology (688088) - Hongsoft Technology specializes in AI visual algorithms, providing algorithm licensing and system solutions, with mobile intelligent terminal visual solutions being the main revenue source [5][6] - The company reported a net profit of 142 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 60.51% [6] - The global smartphone shipment reached 923 million units in the first three quarters of 2025, with an AI smartphone penetration rate expected to reach 34% [6] - The smart glasses market saw a shipment of 4.065 million units in the first half of 2025, a 64.2% increase year-on-year, with expectations for the market to exceed 40 million units by 2029 [6] - The automotive sector showed a 12.4% year-on-year increase in sales, with the domestic passenger car market's DMS function penetration rate reaching a historical high of 26.2% in September 2025 [6] - The company’s PSAI product has penetrated multiple e-commerce platforms, serving hundreds of thousands of small businesses and over 300 major apparel brands [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are 0.63 yuan, 0.85 yuan, and 1.18 yuan, with a 2025 price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 76.07, which is below the average valuation of comparable companies [7] Industry Research: Light Industry Manufacturing & Textile Apparel - The light industry manufacturing sector outperformed the CSI 300 Index by 0.58 percentage points from December 1 to December 5, 2025, while the textile and apparel sector underperformed by 2.88 percentage points [8][10] - Recent price increases in packaging paper have been noted, with companies like Nine Dragons and others announcing price hikes of 50 yuan per ton [10] - The government is actively engaging in trade discussions with the U.S., which may positively impact export chain companies [10] - The domestic real estate market is under pressure, but recent policies to enhance home purchase subsidies may improve the situation in the medium term [10]