关注马士基52周报价情况-20251209

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The 12 - month contract is expected to be volatile, and the February contract is expected to be volatile and bullish. There may be a large expected difference in the February 2026 contract. The far - month contracts face the pressure of the Suez Canal's resumption of navigation, and their valuations may be revised downward [9][6][7] 3. Summary according to Related Catalogs Futures Prices - As of December 8, 2025, the total open interest of all contracts of the container shipping index (European route) futures was 62,339 lots, and the single - day trading volume was 23,616 lots. The closing prices of EC2602, EC2604, EC2606, EC2608, EC2610, and EC2512 contracts were 1615.30, 1077.70, 1217.30, 1356.00, 1028.20, and 1669.80 respectively [8] Spot Prices - In terms of online quotes, different shipping companies have different prices for the Shanghai - Rotterdam route in December. For example, Gemini Cooperation's Maersk price in the third week of December was 1535/2410, and HPL - SPOT's price in the second half of December was 1635/2535. Maersk issued a price increase letter for January at 2275/3500 [2] Container Ship Capacity Supply - In December, the remaining 4 - week monthly average weekly capacity was 314,700 TEU, and the capacities in weeks 50, 51, 52, and 53 were 334,500, 289,600, 315,000, and 319,000 TEU respectively. In January, the monthly average weekly capacity was 331,700 TEU, and in February, it was 262,900 TEU. There were 4 blank sailings in December and 4 TBNs in January, all from the OA alliance. Maersk added a new sailing ship in week 51 [4] Supply Chain - Maersk issued an update on the Red Sea/Aden Gulf. Due to the continuous unrest in the Red Sea, A.P. Moller - Maersk and Hapag - Lloyd launched the Cape of Good Hope network in February 2025. There is currently no specific time to change the east - west route of Gemini to pass through the Red Sea [3] Demand and European Economy - The cargo volume is gradually recovering. The 2026 Spring Festival is one month later than in 2025, and there is uncertainty about whether the shipping companies' contract price - holding time will also be postponed. If the high - price contracts are implemented in January 2026, the February contract may be at parity with the December contract [6][7]