纸浆数据日报-20251209
Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-12-09 05:10
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply side of pulp has positive factors as Canadian pulp mills have reduced production, and there is no new warehouse receipt registration, so the delivery resources for near - month contracts are tight. However, new warehouse receipt registration appears when the price rises to 5,500 yuan/ton on the market, limiting further upward space [7] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Pulp Price Data - Futures Prices: On December 6, 2025, SP2601 was 5,392 yuan/ton, down 1.06% day - on - day and up 3.89% week - on - week; SP2512 was 4,682 yuan/ton, down 1.84% day - on - day and down 0.47% week - on - week; SP2605 was 5,436 yuan/ton, down 0.98% day - on - day and up 3.42% week - on - week [6] - Spot Prices: On December 6, 2025, the price of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5,600 yuan/ton, unchanged day - on - day and up 0.90% week - on - week; Russian coniferous pulp was 5,250 yuan/ton, unchanged both day - on - day and week - on - week; broadleaf pulp Fish was 4,500 yuan/ton, unchanged both day - on - day and week - on - week [6] - Foreign Quotes: The quote of Chilean Silver Star was 680 US dollars/ton, unchanged month - on - month; Japanese West Fish was 540 US dollars/ton, up 1.89% month - on - month; Chilean Venus was 590 US dollars/ton, unchanged month - on - month [6] - Import Costs: The import cost of Chilean Silver Star was 5,559 yuan/ton, unchanged month - on - month; Japanese Fish was 4,425 yuan/ton, up 1.87% month - on - month; Chilean Venus was 4,830 yuan/ton, unchanged month - on - month [6] 3.2 Pulp Fundamental Data - Supply - Imports: In October 2025, coniferous pulp imports were 69.1 tons, unchanged month - on - month; broadleaf pulp imports were 131.8 tons, down 2.80% month - on - month [6] - Shipments: The pulp shipments to China in October 2025 were 173 thousand tons, down 7.49% month - on - month [6] - Domestic Production: The production of broadleaf pulp and chemimechanical pulp fluctuates over different weeks in 2025 [6] - Inventory - Port Inventory: As of December 4, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 210.7 tons, showing a decreasing trend compared with previous periods [6] - Futures Delivery Warehouse Inventory: As of December 4, 2025, the futures delivery warehouse inventory was 21.0 tons, also showing a certain change trend compared with previous periods [6] - Demand: The production of finished paper such as offset paper, coated paper, tissue paper, and white cardboard fluctuates over different weeks in 2025 [6] - Supply - Demand - Inventory Analysis: Recently, the international wood chip supply has been tight and prices have risen rapidly. APRIL and Bracel under the Golden Eagle Group announced a 20 - US - dollar/ton price increase for bleached hardwood kraft pulp (BHK) in Asia in December. On the demand side, wood - pulp paper has issued price increase letters recently, with only white cardboard having good implementation. As of December 4, 2025, the inventory in China's mainstream pulp ports decreased by 7.1 tons compared with the previous period, a 3.3% decline, and has continued to decline slightly for two consecutive weeks [6]