?国债期货日报-20251209

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core View of the Report - On the current day, Treasury bond futures showed a differentiated trend of short - term gains and long - term losses. The 2 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year main contracts rose slightly, while the 30 - year contract declined against the trend. The capital situation remained loose, but the central bank net - withdrew 13.4 billion yuan on the day. Coupled with the supply - demand pressure of ultra - long bonds and differences in policy expectations, the adjustment pressure on long - term varieties increased. The trading volume of the main contracts was concentrated in the next - quarter contracts (2603 contracts), and the trading volume of the 30 - year contract reached 126.7 billion yuan, ranking first, indicating a high degree of participation of trading funds in long - term fluctuations [10] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Futures Market - On the current day, the contract with the largest open interest among all contracts was the ten - year Treasury bond (T2603) contract, with an open interest of 233,603 lots. The report also presented detailed market data of various Treasury bond futures contracts, including opening price, highest price, lowest price, trading volume, trading amount, open interest, change in open interest, settlement price, and price changes [5] 2. Spot Market - On December 3, 2025, the People's Bank of China conducted 79.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at an interest rate of 1.40%. On the same day, 213.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchases matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 134 billion yuan of funds on the day [6] 3. Related News - In the technical analysis of the ten - year Treasury bond (T2603) contract, the daily K - line showed a positive K - line with a long lower shadow on the current day. It was currently trading below the 20 - day moving average, with an intraday high of 108.060 yuan. The MACD indicator continued to show a death cross near the zero - axis, and the trading volume was greater than that of the previous day [7]