Guoxin Securities·2025-12-09 06:37Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [1][4][8]. Core Views - The report highlights the ongoing development of the Guangdong electricity market for 2026, with a total market scale of approximately 680 billion kilowatt-hours and an annual trading cap of 420 billion kilowatt-hours [2][15]. - The report discusses the approval of a significant asset swap by Electric Power Investment Corporation, which involves the acquisition of 100% equity in Electric Power Nuclear and the issuance of shares to raise funds for nuclear power projects [3][21][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of carbon neutrality, recommending investments in the new energy industry chain and integrated energy management [24]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.28%, while the public utility index increased by 0.12%, and the environmental index fell by 0.15% [1][14]. - Within the electricity sector, thermal power decreased by 0.20%, hydropower increased by 0.66%, and new energy generation rose by 1.09% [1][27]. Important Events - The Guangdong electricity market for 2026 is set to have a trading scale of about 680 billion kilowatt-hours, with specific allocations for nuclear power units [2][15]. - The asset swap by Electric Power Investment Corporation has been approved, with a transaction value of 55.39 billion yuan for the acquisition of Electric Power Nuclear [3][21]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and regional power companies with stable pricing like Shanghai Electric [4][24]. - The report suggests investing in leading new energy companies such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy, as well as high-dividend hydropower stocks like Yangtze Power [4][24]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - Huadian International is rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 0.49 yuan for 2024 and 0.62 yuan for 2025 [8]. - Electric Power Investment Corporation is also rated "Outperform," with an expected EPS of 0.19 yuan for 2024 and 0.26 yuan for 2025 [8]. Environmental Sector Insights - The report notes that the waste incineration industry is maturing, with improved free cash flow, and suggests focusing on "utility-like investment opportunities" in the environmental sector [25]. - Recommendations include companies like China Science Instruments and Shandong High Energy Resources, which are expected to benefit from upcoming EU policies [25].