中国天楹（000035）：新能源全链加速落地，传统业务平稳运营

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 7.39 CNY, while the current price is 6.19 CNY [5][17]. Core Insights - The company is accelerating its full-chain layout in the new energy sector while maintaining stable operations in its traditional business. It is focusing on gravity energy storage and has made significant progress in waste incineration projects and overseas markets [2][11]. - The company aims to achieve a production capacity of 200,000 tons of EU-certified methanol by 2026, with a projected revenue increase in the new energy sector driven by rising demand for green fuels [14][15]. - The waste incineration business is expected to grow slightly above the industry average due to ongoing operational improvements and expansion into overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia [14][11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 5,324 million CNY in 2023 to 7,609 million CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.3% [4][12]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 337 million CNY in 2023 to 529 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [4][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.14 CNY in 2023 to 0.22 CNY in 2027, indicating improving profitability [4][12]. Business Segments - Waste Disposal and Incineration Power Generation: Revenue is expected to grow from 2,447.15 million CNY in 2024 to 2,635.31 million CNY in 2027, with a stable gross margin around 48% [16]. - New Energy Business: Projected revenue of 1,080 million CNY in 2026 and 1,440 million CNY in 2027, with a gross margin of 30.6% [16]. - Environmental Engineering: Revenue is expected to decline slightly, maintaining a gross margin around 10% [15][16]. - Urban Environmental Services: Revenue is projected to grow steadily, with a gross margin of approximately 23.7% [15][16].