食品饮料行业11月月报：节气将近，白酒、预制食品反弹-20251210

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "in line with the market," indicating that the industry index is expected to fluctuate between -10% to 10% relative to the CSI 300 over the next six months [61]. Core Insights - In November 2025, the food and beverage sector experienced a rebound, with segments such as prepared foods, baking, dairy, and meat products continuing their upward trend, while the liquor sector also saw a rebound [6][7]. - The overall performance of the food and beverage sector from January to November 2025 was a cumulative decline of -0.16%, underperforming the market benchmark index, which rose by 18.49% during the same period [12]. - The investment suggestion for December 2025 includes focusing on opportunities in soft drinks, health products, baking, yeast, compound seasonings, and snacks [57][58]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance of the Food and Beverage Sector - The food and beverage sector recorded a rebound in November 2025, with a total trading volume of 283.98 billion shares, an increase of 80.47 billion shares from October [7]. - The cumulative performance from January to November 2025 ranked the food and beverage sector 14th among 31 primary industries, and 6th within the consumer sector [15]. 2. Valuation of the Food and Beverage Sector - As of November 30, 2025, the valuation of the food and beverage sector was at 19.76 times earnings, which is relatively low compared to its ten-year historical average [19]. - The valuation of liquor was lower than the overall food and beverage sector, at 18.79 times earnings [19]. 3. Individual Stock Performance - In November 2025, 50% of individual stocks in the food and beverage sector saw gains, with notable increases in prepared foods, baking, dairy, snacks, and liquor [25]. - Specific stocks such as Hai Xin Foods (+50.52%) and Yantai Changyu (+3.92%) showed significant gains during this period [26][27]. 4. Investment Trends and Production - The investment growth in the food and beverage manufacturing sector remained strong, with fixed asset investments in the sector increasing by 22.9% year-on-year in 2024 [34]. - Production trends showed a decline in liquor and wine output, while fresh meat and edible oil production continued to grow [38][39]. 5. Price Trends - Domestic raw milk prices continued to decline, while prices for vegetable oils and flour saw increases [46][48]. - The price index for vegetables surged, significantly exceeding the levels of the same period last year [48]. 6. Company Dynamics in Henan Province - Companies such as Hoshin and Qianwei Central Kitchen showed relatively good market performance, with stock prices increasing by 27.78% and 19.3% respectively from January to November 2025 [52]. - The overall performance of prepared foods and snacks in Henan province was notably strong during this period [52].