Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company has successfully transformed into a modular supplier, with its die-casting business entering a harvest period. Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with net profits expected to reach 9.32 billion, 13.34 billion, and 16.97 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, respectively [5][61]. - The company has seen rapid revenue growth, from 800 million yuan in 2021 to an estimated 4.2 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a strong upward trajectory in the automotive structural parts sector [5][20]. - The company is positioned to become a leading player in the domestic automotive structural parts market, benefiting from the rise of domestic brands and the acceptance of integrated die-casting technology [6][61]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Founded in 2004, the company has evolved from mold manufacturing to stamping and die-casting, establishing a comprehensive production capability across various automotive components [12]. - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure, with significant ownership by its founders, which enhances management stability and operational efficiency [16]. 2. Market Potential - The stamping parts market in China is approximately 300 billion yuan, with a global market size of about 15 trillion yuan, indicating substantial growth opportunities [6]. - The integrated die-casting market is expected to exceed 10 billion yuan in 2022 and reach 100 billion yuan by 2025, driven by cost reduction and efficiency improvements [35]. 3. Competitive Advantages - The company has a strong focus on technology and management, which has led to high profitability levels. Its production strategy is based on demand-driven expansion, ensuring efficient capacity utilization [48]. - The company has established relationships with key clients, including major domestic automotive manufacturers, which are expected to drive future revenue growth [51][55]. 4. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 2.6 billion yuan in 2023 to 11.2 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 66.6% from 2020 to 2024 [8][20]. - The company's net profit margin is expected to improve, with net profit projected to reach 1.7 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [8][61].
博俊科技(300926):公司首次覆盖报告:成功转型模块化供应商,压铸业务迎收获期