美联储12月如期降息，但表述较为鹰派

Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points in December, aligning with expectations, marking the third rate cut since September[2] - The Fed plans to purchase $40 billion in short-term bonds over the next 30 days to maintain adequate reserve supply[2] - The Fed's internal divisions regarding rate cuts have increased, with three voting members opposing the decision, the highest dissent since 2019[5] Group 2: Economic Forecasts - The Fed significantly raised its GDP forecast for 2026 by 0.5 percentage points to 2.3%[3] - Unemployment rate projections for 2026 and 2027 remain at 4.4% and 4.2%, respectively, with slight adjustments made to future years[6] - The PCE inflation rate forecast for 2026 was lowered by 0.2 percentage points to 2.4%[4] Group 3: Future Rate Expectations - The Fed maintains expectations for two additional 25 basis point rate cuts in the coming year, with a target federal funds rate of 3%-3.25% by year-end[1] - Future rate adjustments will depend on economic data and evolving risks, indicating a cautious approach[4] - The potential for rate hikes in the second half of next year is limited, as the economic conditions may not warrant such actions[1]